Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29293612›Full record

ArticlePloS one2018

Liver volume-based prediction model stratifies risks for hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients on surveillance.

Chung Seop Lee, Yong Jin Jung, Soon Sun Kim, Jae Youn Cheong, Ga Ram Lee, Han Gyeol Kim, Beom Hee Kim, Jung Wha Chung, Eun Sun Jang, Sook-Hyang Jeong and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 27% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. [Study on the value of abnormal prothrombin in the diagnosis of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2025
    Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. [Early diagnosis and predictive model for hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2022
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Chung Seop LeeDepartment of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Republic of Korea.
Yong Jin JungDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Soon Sun KimDepartment of Gastroenterology, Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon, Republic of Korea.
Jae Youn CheongDepartment of Gastroenterology, Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon, Republic of Korea.
Ga Ram LeeDepartment of Gastroenterology, Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon, Republic of Korea.
Han Gyeol KimDepartment of Gastroenterology, Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon, Republic of Korea.
Beom Hee KimDepartment of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Republic of Korea.
Jung Wha ChungDepartment of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Republic of Korea.
Eun Sun JangDepartment of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Republic of Korea.
Sook-Hyang JeongDepartment of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Republic of Korea.
Kyung Ho LeeDepartment of Radiology, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Jin-Wook KimDepartment of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-0934-3344
Ajou University · KRSeoul National University · KRSeoul National University Bundang Hospital · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimThe aim of this study was to determine whether dynamic computed tomography (CT)-measured liver volume predicts the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) when the CT scans do not reveal evidence of HCC in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients on surveillance.

methodsThis retrospective multicentre cohort study included 1,246 patients who received entecavir and regular HCC surveillance in three tertiary referral centres in South Korea. Liver volumes were measured on portal venous phase CT images. A nomogram was developed based on Cox independent predictors and externally validated. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed for comparison with previous prediction models.

resultsPatients who received dynamic CT studies during surveillance had significantly higher risk for HCC compared to patients without CT studies (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.1; p < 0.001). Expected/measured liver volume ratio was an independent predictor of HCC (HR = 4.2; p = 0.002) in addition to age, sex and cirrhosis. The nomogram based on the four predictors discriminated risks for HCC (HR = 4.1 and 6.0 in derivation and validation cohort, respectively, for volume score > 150; p < 0.001). Time-dependent ROC analysis confirmed better performance of the volume score compared to HCC prediction models with conventional predictors (integrated area under curve = 0.758 vs. 0.661-0.712; p < 0.05).

conclusionsCT-measured liver volume is an independent predictor of future HCC, and nomogram-based liver volume score may stratify the risks of HCC in CHB patients who showed negative CT findings for HCC during surveillance.

Indexed as

AdultAgedCarcinoma, HepatocellularFemaleHepatitis B, ChronicHumansLiverLiver NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedModels, BiologicalRisk FactorsTomography, X-Ray Computed

Identifiers

PMID29293612
PMCPMC5749771
OpenAlexW2781954467

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.