ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2017
Spatiotemporal Risk of Bacillary Dysentery and Sensitivity to Meteorological Factors in Hunan Province, China.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 30 citations in OpenAlex.
- Impact of Climate Variability on Foodborne Diarrheal Disease: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Public health reviews · 2025Pooled it
- Temperature and risk of infectious diarrhea: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2021Pooled it
- Temporal variations and spatial clusters of diarrheal diseases before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in Jakarta province, Indonesia.BMC public health · 2025Article
- A multi-method spatial analysis of dysentery incidence determinants across Chinese provinces.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Using a Leroux-prior-based conditional autoregression-based strategy to map the short-term association between temperature and bacillary dysentery and its attributable burden in China.Frontiers in public health · 2024Article
- Shigellosis seasonality and transmission characteristics in different areas of China: A modelling study.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2022Article
- Effects of daily mean temperature and other meteorological variables on bacillary dysentery in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China.Environmental health and preventive medicine · 2022Article
- Spatio-temporal analysis of bacillary dysentery in Sichuan province, China, 2011-2019.BMC infectious diseases · 2021Article
- Relative transmissibility of shigellosis among male and female individuals: a modeling study in Hubei Province, China.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2020Article
- Epidemiological characteristics and transmissibility of shigellosis in Hubei Province, China, 2005 - 2017.BMC infectious diseases · 2020Article
- Epidemiological characteristics of bacillary dysentery from 2009 to 2016 and its incidence prediction model based on meteorological factors.Environmental health and preventive medicine · 2019Article
- Spatial-temporal heterogeneity of hand, foot and mouth disease and impact of meteorological factors in arid/ semi-arid regions: a case study in Ningxia, China.BMC public health · 2019Article
- Observational
- Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Bacillary Dysentery from 2005 to 2017 in Zhejiang Province, China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2018Article
- Evaluation of an Agricultural Meteorological Disaster Based on Multiple Criterion Decision Making and Evolutionary Algorithm.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2018Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Bacillary dysentery remains a public health concern in the world. Hunan Province is one of the provinces having the highest risk of bacillary dysentery in China, however, the spatial-temporal distribution, variation of bacillary dysentery and sensitivity to meteorological factors in there are unclear. In this paper, a Bayesian space-time hierarchical model (BSTHM) was used to detect space-time variation, and effects of meteorological factors between 2010 and 2015. The risk of bacillary dysentery showed apparent spatial-temporal heterogeneity. The highest risk occurred in the summer season. Economically undeveloped mountainous areas in the west and south of the province had the highest incidence rates. Twenty three (18.9%) and 20 (16.4%) counties were identified as hot and cold spots, respectively. Among the hotspots, 11 counties (47.8%) exhibited a rapidly decreasing trend, suggesting they may become low-risk areas in the future. Of the cold spot counties, six (30%) showed a slowly decreasing trend, and may have a higher risk in the future. Among meteorological factors, air temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed all played a significant role in the spatial-temporal distribution of bacillary dysentery risk. These findings can contribute to the implementation of an early warning system for controlling and preventing bacillary dysentery.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.