Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29282508›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of surgery2018

A Nomogram to Predict Prognosis in Malignant Pleural Mesothelioma.

Shuai Wang, Ke Ma, Zongwei Chen, Xiaodong Yang, Fenghao Sun, Yulin Jin, Yu Shi, Wei Jiang, Qun Wang, Cheng Zhan

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Article in World journal of surgery, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Shuai WangDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, No. 180, Fenglin Road, Xuhui District, 200032, Shanghai, China.
Ke MaDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, No. 180, Fenglin Road, Xuhui District, 200032, Shanghai, China.
Zongwei ChenDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, No. 180, Fenglin Road, Xuhui District, 200032, Shanghai, China.
Xiaodong YangDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, No. 180, Fenglin Road, Xuhui District, 200032, Shanghai, China.
Fenghao SunDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, No. 180, Fenglin Road, Xuhui District, 200032, Shanghai, China.
Yulin JinDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, No. 180, Fenglin Road, Xuhui District, 200032, Shanghai, China.
Yu ShiDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, No. 180, Fenglin Road, Xuhui District, 200032, Shanghai, China.
Wei JiangDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, No. 180, Fenglin Road, Xuhui District, 200032, Shanghai, China.
Qun WangDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, No. 180, Fenglin Road, Xuhui District, 200032, Shanghai, China.
Cheng ZhanDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, No. 180, Fenglin Road, Xuhui District, 200032, Shanghai, China. czhan10@fudan.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0001-8745-9276

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 81401875National Natural Science Foundation of China 81472225Shanghai Sailing Program 17YF1402400
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMalignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) is a rare malignancy with heterogeneous outcomes. This study was aimed to develop a nomogram to precisely and visually predict survival of MPM patients.

methodsData from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (1973-2014) on MPM were screened and retrieved. The prognostic effects of variables, including age, sex, race, year of diagnosis, laterality, histology, tumor stage, surgery, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard model. A nomogram was formulated to predict overall survival of MPM patients.

resultsA total of 1092 cases who met inclusion criteria were included in this study. The overall 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival rate in the entire cohort was 45.1, 23.0, and 12.1%, with median survival of 11 months. Cox regression analysis showed that age (P < 0.001), race (P = 0.003), histology type (P < 0.001), T stage (P < 0.001), M stage (P < 0.001), TNM stage (P < 0.001), cancer-directed surgery (P < 0.001), and chemotherapy (P < 0.001) were all independent prognostic factors of MPM patients. A nomogram was established based on the results of multivariate analysis. The internal bootstrap resampling approach suggested the nomogram had sufficient discriminatory power with the C-index of 0.705 (95% CI 0.681-0.729). The calibration plots also demonstrated good consistence between the prediction and the observation.

conclusionsWe developed a nomogram to accurately predict clinical outcomes of MPM patients based on individual characteristics. Risk stratification by the survival nomogram could optimize individual therapies and follow-up.

Indexed as

NomogramsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansLung NeoplasmsMaleMesotheliomaMesothelioma, MalignantMiddle AgedPleural NeoplasmsPrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsSEER Program

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.