ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2017
Modelling the Transmission Dynamics and Control of Mumps in Mainland China.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed.
- Sex- and age-specific transmission pathways of mumps: a mechanistic SEPIAR modeling study in Chengdu, China (2008-2019).BMC public health · 2026Article
- Mathematical insights into mumps transmission control with optimal strategies.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2025Article
- Modeling mumps incidence in China: spatiotemporal clusters and evolving risk factors (2005-2020).BMC public health · 2025Article
- Transmission dynamics of mumps epidemic model through stochastic analysis with delay effect.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- A heterogeneous continuous age-structured model of mumps with vaccine.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2025Article
- The impact of temperature, humidity and closing school on the mumps epidemic: a case study in the mainland of China.BMC public health · 2024Article
- Application of logistic differential equation models for early warning of infectious diseases in Jilin Province.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Correlation between mumps and meteorological factors in Xiamen City, China: A modelling study.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2022Article
- Age-specific transmission dynamic of mumps: A long-term large-scale modeling study in Jilin Province, China.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- The incidence of mumps in Taiwan and its association with the meteorological parameters: An observational study.Medicine · 2021Observational
- Introduction of Two-Dose Mumps-Containing Vaccine into Routine Immunization Schedule in Quzhou, China, Using Cox-Proportional Hazard Model.Journal of immunology research · 2021Article
- Global Stability of a Mumps Transmission Model with Quarantine Measure.Acta mathematicae applicatae Sinica (English series) · 2021Article
- Measles and mumps outbreaks in Lebanon: trends and links.BMC infectious diseases · 2020Article
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Mumps is a common childhood viral disease and children have been vaccinated throughout the world since 1967. The incidence of mumps has increased with more than 300,000 young people infected with mumps annually in mainland China since 2005. Therefore, we designed and analyzed long-term mumps surveillance data in an SVEILR (susceptible-vaccinated-exposed-severely infectious-mildly infectious-recovered) dynamic transmission model with optimized parameter values to describe the dynamics of mumps infections in China. There were 18.02% of mumps infected young adults seeking medical advice. The vaccine coverage has been insufficient in China. Young adults with frequent contact and mild infection were identified as a major driver of mumps epidemics. The reproduction number of mumps was determined 4.28 in China. Sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number and the endemic equilibrium was conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of mumps control measures. We propose to increase the vaccine coverage and make two doses of MMR (Measles, mumps and rubella) vaccines freely available in China.
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