Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29271017›Full record

ArticlePharmacoepidemiology and drug safety2018

A prediction model-based algorithm for computer-assisted database screening of adverse drug reactions in the Netherlands.

Joep H G Scholl, Florence P A M van Hunsel, Eelko Hak, Eugène P van Puijenbroek

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In one paragraph

Article in Pharmacoepidemiology and drug safety, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

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11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  4. Evaluation of four machine learning models for signal detection.Therapeutic advances in drug safety · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Joep H G SchollNetherlands Pharmacovigilance Centre Lareb, 's-Hertogenbosch, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-9222-5965
Florence P A M van HunselNetherlands Pharmacovigilance Centre Lareb, 's-Hertogenbosch, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-8965-3224
Eelko HakPharmacoTherapy, -Epidemiology and -Economics, Groningen Research Institute of Pharmacy, University of Groningen, The Netherlands.
Eugène P van PuijenbroekNetherlands Pharmacovigilance Centre Lareb, 's-Hertogenbosch, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-2236-1398

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThe statistical screening of pharmacovigilance databases containing spontaneously reported adverse drug reactions (ADRs) is mainly based on disproportionality analysis. The aim of this study was to improve the efficiency of full database screening using a prediction model-based approach.

methodsA logistic regression-based prediction model containing 5 candidate predictors was developed and internally validated using the Summary of Product Characteristics as the gold standard for the outcome. All drug-ADR associations, with the exception of those related to vaccines, with a minimum of 3 reports formed the training data for the model. Performance was based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results were compared with the current method of database screening based on the number of previously analyzed associations.

resultsA total of 25 026 unique drug-ADR associations formed the training data for the model. The final model contained all 5 candidate predictors (number of reports, disproportionality, reports from healthcare professionals, reports from marketing authorization holders, Naranjo score). The AUC for the full model was 0.740 (95% CI; 0.734-0.747). The internal validity was good based on the calibration curve and bootstrapping analysis (AUC after bootstrapping = 0.739). Compared with the old method, the AUC increased from 0.649 to 0.740, and the proportion of potential signals increased by approximately 50% (from 12.3% to 19.4%).

conclusionsA prediction model-based approach can be a useful tool to create priority-based listings for signal detection in databases consisting of spontaneous ADRs.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsAdverse Drug Reaction Reporting SystemsDatabases, FactualData MiningDrug-Related Side Effects and Adverse ReactionsHumansLogistic ModelsMultivariate AnalysisNetherlandsPharmacovigilanceROC Curveadverse drug reactionpharmacoepidemiologypharmacovigilanceprediction modelsignal detection

Identifiers

PMID29271017
PMCPMC5814895

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.