ArticleJournal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology. Medical sciences = Hua zhong ke ji da xue xue bao. Yi xue Ying De wen ban = Huazhong keji daxue xuebao. Yixue Yingdewen ban2017
Application of seasonal auto-regressive integrated moving average model in forecasting the incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease in Wuhan, China.
Article in Journal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology. Medical sciences = Hua zhong ke ji da xue xue bao. Yi xue Ying De wen ban = Huazhong keji daxue xuebao. Yixue Yingdewen ban, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed.
- A comparative study of time series foundation models for hand, foot, and mouth disease forecasting: TimesFM, Moirai, and traditional approaches.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Japanese encephalitis transmission trends in Gansu, China: A time series predictive model based on spatial dispersion.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2023Article
- Research on hand, foot and mouth disease incidence forecasting using hybrid model in mainland China.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Estimation of the Effectiveness of a Tighter, Reinforced Quarantine for the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Outbreak: Analysis of the Third Wave in South Korea.Journal of personalized medicine · 2023Article
- Forecasting the Severity of COVID-19 Pandemic Amidst the Emerging SARS-CoV-2 Variants: Adoption of ARIMA Model.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2022Article
- Predicting the Number of Reported Pulmonary Tuberculosis in Guiyang, China, Based on Time Series Analysis Techniques.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2022Article
- Trend analysis and forecast of daily reported incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in Hubei, China by Prophet model.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Time series analysis and forecasting of chlamydia trachomatis incidence using surveillance data from 2008 to 2019 in Shenzhen, China.Epidemiology and infection · 2020Article
- Applying time series modeling to assess the dynamics and forecast monthly reports of abuse, neglect and/or exploitation involving a vulnerable adult.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2020Article
- A method for hand-foot-mouth disease prediction using GeoDetector and LSTM model in Guangxi, China.Scientific reports · 2019Article
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- Article
- Time-series modelling and forecasting of hand, foot and mouth disease cases in China from 2008 to 2018.Epidemiology and infection · 2019Article
- Reinfection hazard of hand-foot-mouth disease in Wuhan, China, using Cox-proportional hazard model.Epidemiology and infection · 2018Article
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
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Abstract
Outbreaks of hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) have occurred many times and caused serious health burden in China since 2008. Application of modern information technology to prediction and early response can be helpful for efficient HFMD prevention and control. A seasonal auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model for time series analysis was designed in this study. Eighty-four-month (from January 2009 to December 2015) retrospective data obtained from the Chinese Information System for Disease Prevention and Control were subjected to ARIMA modeling. The coefficient of determination (R
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