Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29269963›Full record

ArticleComputer methods in applied mechanics and engineering2017

Selection and Validation of Predictive Models of Radiation Effects on Tumor Growth Based on Noninvasive Imaging Data.

E A B F Lima, J T Oden, B Wohlmuth, A Shahmoradi, D A Hormuth, T E Yankeelov, L Scarabosio, T Horger

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Computer methods in applied mechanics and engineering, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Tumor metrics imaging core labs: primer for radiologists.Abdominal radiology (New York) · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Identifiability and model selection frameworks for models of high-grade glioma response to chemoradiation.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
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  12. Optimizing combination therapy in a murine model of HER2+ breast cancer.Computer methods in applied mechanics and engineering · 2022
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

E A B F LimaInstitute for Computational Engineering and Sciences (ICES), The Center of Computational Oncology (CCO), The University of Texas at Austin.
J T OdenInstitute for Computational Engineering and Sciences (ICES), The Center of Computational Oncology (CCO), The University of Texas at Austin.
B WohlmuthTechnical University of Munich, Germany, Department of Mathematics, Chair of Numerical Mathematics (M2).
A ShahmoradiInstitute for Computational Engineering and Sciences (ICES), The Center of Computational Oncology (CCO), The University of Texas at Austin.
D A HormuthInstitute for Computational Engineering and Sciences (ICES), The Center of Computational Oncology (CCO), The University of Texas at Austin.
T E YankeelovInstitute for Computational Engineering and Sciences (ICES), The Center of Computational Oncology (CCO), The University of Texas at Austin.
L ScarabosioTechnical University of Munich, Germany, Department of Mathematics, Chair of Numerical Mathematics (M2).
T HorgerTechnical University of Munich, Germany, Department of Mathematics, Chair of Numerical Mathematics (M2).

Funding

Quantitative Multiscale Imaging to Optimize Cancer Treatment StrategiesR01CA186193 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI QUARANTA, VITO, RERICHA, ERIN C · 2014 to 2019
$3.1M
Image Driven Multi-Scale Modeling to Predict Treatment Response in Breast CancerU01CA174706 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI QUARANTA, VITO, YANKEELOV, THOMAS E · 2013 to 2018
$2.5M
Evaluation and Validation of Imaging Biomarkers of Tumor Response to TreatmentR01CA138599 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI MCINTYRE, JAMES OLIVER · 2010 to 2015
$2.2M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA138599NCI NIH HHS R01 CA186193NCI NIH HHS U01 CA174706
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The use of mathematical and computational models for reliable predictions of tumor growth and decline in living organisms is one of the foremost challenges in modern predictive science, as it must cope with uncertainties in observational data, model selection, model parameters, and model inadequacy, all for very complex physical and biological systems. In this paper, large classes of parametric models of tumor growth in vascular tissue are discussed including models for radiation therapy. Observational data is obtained from MRI of a murine model of glioma and observed over a period of about three weeks, with X-ray radiation administered 14.5 days into the experimental program. Parametric models of tumor proliferation and decline are presented based on the balance laws of continuum mixture theory, particularly mass balance, and from accepted biological hypotheses on tumor growth. Among these are new model classes that include characterizations of effects of radiation and simple models of mechanical deformation of tumors. The Occam Plausibility Algorithm (OPAL) is implemented to provide a Bayesian statistical calibration of the model classes, 39 models in all, as well as the determination of the most plausible models in these classes relative to the observational data, and to assess model inadequacy through statistical validation processes. Discussions of the numerical analysis of finite element approximations of the system of stochastic, nonlinear partial differential equations characterizing the model classes, as well as the sampling algorithms for Monte Carlo and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods employed in solving the forward stochastic problem, and in computing posterior distributions of parameters and model plausibilities are provided. The results of the analyses described suggest that the general framework developed can provide a useful approach for predicting tumor growth and the effects of radiation.

Indexed as

Bayesian inferencecalibrationmodel plausibilitiesMonte Carlo methodsMRI imagingphenomenological modelsradiotherapystatistical samplingvalidation

Identifiers

PMID29269963
PMCPMC5734134

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.