Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29267067›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of public health2018

Trends in Illicit Cigarette Use in Brazil Estimated From Legal Sales, 2012-2016.

André Szklo, Roberto Magno Iglesias, Mirian Carvalho de Souza, Moysés Szklo, Liz Maria de Almeida

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of public health, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories in Brazil.American journal of preventive medicine · 2023
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Recent evidence on the illicit cigarette trade in Latin America.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2022
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

André SzkloAndré Szklo, Mirian Carvalho de Souza, and Liz Maria de Almeida are with the Division of Epidemiology, Brazilian National Cancer Institute (INCA), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Roberto Magno Iglesias is with the Center of Studies on Integration and Development (CINDES), Rio de Janeiro. Moysés Szklo is with the Division of Epidemiology, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD.
Roberto Magno IglesiasAndré Szklo, Mirian Carvalho de Souza, and Liz Maria de Almeida are with the Division of Epidemiology, Brazilian National Cancer Institute (INCA), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Roberto Magno Iglesias is with the Center of Studies on Integration and Development (CINDES), Rio de Janeiro. Moysés Szklo is with the Division of Epidemiology, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD.
Mirian Carvalho de SouzaAndré Szklo, Mirian Carvalho de Souza, and Liz Maria de Almeida are with the Division of Epidemiology, Brazilian National Cancer Institute (INCA), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Roberto Magno Iglesias is with the Center of Studies on Integration and Development (CINDES), Rio de Janeiro. Moysés Szklo is with the Division of Epidemiology, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD.
Moysés SzkloAndré Szklo, Mirian Carvalho de Souza, and Liz Maria de Almeida are with the Division of Epidemiology, Brazilian National Cancer Institute (INCA), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Roberto Magno Iglesias is with the Center of Studies on Integration and Development (CINDES), Rio de Janeiro. Moysés Szklo is with the Division of Epidemiology, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD.
Liz Maria de AlmeidaAndré Szklo, Mirian Carvalho de Souza, and Liz Maria de Almeida are with the Division of Epidemiology, Brazilian National Cancer Institute (INCA), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Roberto Magno Iglesias is with the Center of Studies on Integration and Development (CINDES), Rio de Janeiro. Moysés Szklo is with the Division of Epidemiology, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo estimate the proportions of illicit cigarette consumption in Brazil from 2012 to 2016, a period of sharp increases in cigarette taxes.

methodsWe used an approach based on legal sales provided by the Secretariat of Federal Revenues and self-reported consumption data from an annually conducted telephone survey (VIGITEL) to estimate the changes over time in illegal cigarette use in Brazil. For that purpose, we also used available information on the proportion of illegal cigarette consumption from a nationwide household survey conducted in 2013 to calculate a constant proportion of underreporting from VIGITEL in relation to total consumption and sales in Brazil.

resultsThere was an increase in the estimated proportion of illicit cigarette use from 2012 to 2013 (from 28.6% to 32.3%), then a decrease from 2013 to 2014 (32.3% to 28.8%), and then a sustained trend of increase from 2014 to 2016 (28.8% to 42.8%).

conclusionsNovel and feasible approaches to estimate changes over time in the illegal market are important for helping the effective implementation of tobacco excise tax policy.

Indexed as

AdultBrazilCigarette SmokingCommerceCrimeFemaleHumansMalePrevalenceSurveys and QuestionnairesTaxes

Identifiers

PMID29267067
PMCPMC5846577

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.