Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29249839›Full record

ArticleJournal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics2017

A Calibrated Power Prior Approach to Borrow Information from Historical Data with Application to Biosimilar Clinical Trials.

Haitao Pan, Ying Yuan, Jielai Xia

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
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  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Bayesian Design of Superiority Trials: Methods and Applications.Statistics in biopharmaceutical research · 2022
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Haitao PanDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas 77030, USA.
Ying YuanDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, 77030, USA.
Jielai XiaDepartment of Health Statistics, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, 710032, China.

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Scott Kopetz · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
Targeting the PI3K Signaling Pathway in Endometrial CarcinomaP50CA098258 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI BODURKA, DIANE · 2003 to 2020
$32.0M
Bayesian Adaptive Designs for Oncology Clinical Trials with Late-onset OutcomesR01CA154591 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI YUAN, YING · 2011 to 2014
$1.2M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672NCI NIH HHS P50 CA098258NCI NIH HHS R01 CA154591
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A biosimilar refers to a follow-on biologic intended to be approved for marketing based on biosimilarity to an existing patented biological product (i.e., the reference product). To develop a biosimilar product, it is essential to demonstrate biosimilarity between the follow-on biologic and the reference product, typically through two-arm randomization trials. We propose a Bayesian adaptive design for trials to evaluate biosimilar products. To take advantage of the abundant historical data on the efficacy of the reference product that is typically available at the time a biosimilar product is developed, we propose the calibrated power prior, which allows our design to adaptively borrow information from the historical data according to the congruence between the historical data and the new data collected from the current trial. We propose a new measure, the Bayesian biosimilarity index, to measure the similarity between the biosimilar and the reference product. During the trial, we evaluate the Bayesian biosimilarity index in a group sequential fashion based on the accumulating interim data, and stop the trial early once there is enough information to conclude or reject the similarity. Extensive simulation studies show that the proposed design has higher power than traditional designs. We applied the proposed design to a biosimilar trial for treating rheumatoid arthritis.

Indexed as

Bayesian adaptive designBiosimilarity indexBiosimilarsBorrow informationCalibrated power priorFollow-up biologicsHistorical data

Identifiers

PMID29249839
PMCPMC5726611

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.