Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29248056›Full record

ArticleJournal of health economics2017

Imperfect risk adjustment, risk preferences, and sorting in competitive health insurance markets.

Timothy J Layton

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of health economics, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Selection in Health Insurance Markets and Its Policy Remedies.The journal of economic perspectives : a journal of the American Economic Association
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Timothy J LaytonHarvard Medical School, United States. Electronic address: layton@hcp.med.harvard.edu.

Funding

Health Policy Training Program: Promoting Outcomes, Quality, Equity and Diffusion of AdvancesT32MH019733 · NIMH · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (MEDICAL SCHOOL) · PI Benjamin Le Cook, Haiden A Huskamp · 1993 to 2026
$7.0M
Mental Health Coverage in Health Care ReformR01MH094290 · NIMH · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI MCGUIRE, THOMAS G. · 2011 to 2015
$2.1M
NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH094290NIMH NIH HHS T32 MH019733
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

I develop a model of insurer price-setting and consumer welfare under risk-adjustment, a policy commonly used to combat inefficient sorting due to adverse selection in health insurance markets. I use the model to illustrate graphically that risk-adjustment causes health plan prices to be based on costs not predicted by the risk-adjustment model ("residual costs") rather than total costs, either weakening or exacerbating selection problems depending on the correlation between demand and costs predicted by the risk-adjustment model. I then use a structural model to estimate the welfare consequences of risk-adjustment, finding a welfare gain of over $600 per person-year.

Indexed as

Economic CompetitionInsurance Selection BiasAlgorithmsFemaleHumansInsurance, HealthMaleModels, TheoreticalRisk AdjustmentAdverse selectionHealth insuranceRisk adjustment

Identifiers

PMID29248056
PMCPMC5737825

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.