Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29244202›Full record

ArticleHealth services research2018

Mental Health Risk Adjustment with Clinical Categories and Machine Learning.

Akritee Shrestha, Savannah Bergquist, Ellen Montz, Sherri Rose

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health services research, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Risk adjustment for regional healthcare funding allocations with ensemble methods: an empirical study and interpretation.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. A two-stage super learner for healthcare expenditures.Health services & outcomes research methodology · 2022
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Observational
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Akritee ShresthaDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Savannah BergquistDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Ellen MontzDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Sherri RoseDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-9076-8472

Funding

Mental Health Coverage in Health Care ReformR01MH094290 · NIMH · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI MCGUIRE, THOMAS G. · 2011 to 2015
$2.1M
NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH094290
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo propose nonparametric ensemble machine learning for mental health and substance use disorders (MHSUD) spending risk adjustment formulas, including considering Clinical Classification Software (CCS) categories as diagnostic covariates over the commonly used Hierarchical Condition Category (HCC) system. DATA SOURCES: 2012-2013 Truven MarketScan database. STUDY

designWe implement 21 algorithms to predict MHSUD spending, as well as a weighted combination of these algorithms called super learning. The algorithm collection included seven unique algorithms that were supplied with three differing sets of MHSUD-related predictors alongside demographic covariates: HCC, CCS, and HCC + CCS diagnostic variables. Performance was evaluated based on cross-validated R PRINCIPAL

findingsResults show that super learning had the best performance based on both metrics. The top single algorithm was random forests, which improved on ordinary least squares regression by 10 percent with respect to relative efficiency. CCS categories-based formulas were generally more predictive of MHSUD spending compared to HCC-based formulas.

conclusionsLiterature supports the potential benefit of implementing a separate MHSUD spending risk adjustment formula. Our results suggest there is an incentive to explore machine learning for MHSUD-specific risk adjustment, as well as considering CCS categories over HCCs.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsAdultAge FactorsEmploymentFemaleHumansInsurance Claim ReviewMachine LearningMaleMental DisordersMental Health ServicesMiddle AgedResidence CharacteristicsRisk AdjustmentRisk FactorsSex Factorsmachine learningmental healthregressionRisk adjustment

Identifiers

PMID29244202
PMCPMC6056578

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.