Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29242750›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2017

Global investment targets for malaria control and elimination between 2016 and 2030.

Edith Patouillard, Jamie Griffin, Samir Bhatt, Azra Ghani, Richard Cibulskis

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 51 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
51citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

51 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Edith PatouillardGlobal Malaria Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Jamie GriffinSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Queen Mary University of London, Mile End Road, London, UK.
Samir BhattMedical Research Council Centre for OutbreakAnalysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Azra GhaniMedical Research Council Centre for OutbreakAnalysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Richard CibulskisGlobal Malaria Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.

Funding

Medical Research Council G1002284World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccess to malaria control interventions falls short of universal health coverage. The Global Technical Strategy for malaria targets at least 90% reduction in case incidence and mortality rates, and elimination in 35 countries by 2030. The potential to reach these targets will be determined in part by investments in malaria. This study estimates the financing required for malaria control and elimination over the 2016-2030 period.

methodsA mathematical transmission model was used to explore the impact of increasing intervention coverage on burden and costs. The cost analysis took a public provider perspective covering all 97 malaria endemic countries and territories in 2015. All control interventions currently recommended by the WHO were considered. Cost data were sourced from procurement databases, the peer-reviewed literature, national malaria strategic plans, the WHO-CHOICE project and key informant interviews.

resultsAnnual investments of $6.4 billion (95% uncertainty interval (UI $4.5-$9.0 billion)) by 2020, $7.7 billion (95% UI $5.4-$10.9 billion) by 2025 and $8.7 billion (95% UI $6.0-$12.3 billion) by 2030 will be required to reach the targets set in the Global Technical Strategy. These are equivalent to annual investment per person at risk of malaria of US$3.90 by 2020, US$4.30 by 2025 and US$4.40 by 2030, compared with US$2.30 if interventions were sustained at current coverage levels. The 20 countries with the highest burden in 2015 will require 88% of the total investment.

conclusionsGiven the challenges in increasing domestic and international funding, the efficient use of currently available resources should be a priority.

Identifiers

PMID29242750
PMCPMC5584487

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.