Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29241433›Full record

ArticlePsychiatric services (Washington, D.C.)2018

Long-Run Trends in Antidepressant Use Among Youths After the FDA Black Box Warning.

Nilay Kafali, Ana Progovac, Sherry Shu-Yeu Hou, Benjamin Lê Cook

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Psychiatric services (Washington, D.C.), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Black Box Warning Did Not Cause Increased Suicides.Psychiatric research and clinical practice · 2021
    Article
  4. Response to "Black Box Warning Did Not Cause Increased Suicides".Psychiatric research and clinical practice · 2021
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Liability and Patient Suicide.Focus (American Psychiatric Publishing) · 2019
    Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Nilay KafaliDr. Kafali is with RTI International, Waltham, Massachusetts. Dr. Progovac, Ms. Hou, and Dr. Cook are with the Health Equity Research Lab, Cambridge Health Alliance, Cambridge, Massachusetts. Dr. Cook is also with the Department of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston.
Ana ProgovacDr. Kafali is with RTI International, Waltham, Massachusetts. Dr. Progovac, Ms. Hou, and Dr. Cook are with the Health Equity Research Lab, Cambridge Health Alliance, Cambridge, Massachusetts. Dr. Cook is also with the Department of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston.
Sherry Shu-Yeu HouDr. Kafali is with RTI International, Waltham, Massachusetts. Dr. Progovac, Ms. Hou, and Dr. Cook are with the Health Equity Research Lab, Cambridge Health Alliance, Cambridge, Massachusetts. Dr. Cook is also with the Department of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston.
Benjamin Lê CookDr. Kafali is with RTI International, Waltham, Massachusetts. Dr. Progovac, Ms. Hou, and Dr. Cook are with the Health Equity Research Lab, Cambridge Health Alliance, Cambridge, Massachusetts. Dr. Cook is also with the Department of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston.
Cambridge Health Alliance · US

Funding

Health Policy Training Program: Promoting Outcomes, Quality, Equity and Diffusion of AdvancesT32MH019733 · NIMH · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (MEDICAL SCHOOL) · PI Benjamin Le Cook, Haiden A Huskamp · 1993 to 2026
$7.0M
Comparative Effectiveness Research Diffusion and Mental Health Care DisparitiesR01HS021486 · AHRQ · CAMBRIDGE HEALTH ALLIANCE · PI COOK, BENJAMIN LE · 2013 to 2015
$725k
AHRQ HHS R01 HS021486NIMH NIH HHS T32 MH019733
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveIn October 2004, the Food and Drug Administration directed pharmaceutical companies to issue a black box warning about the potential link between the use of antidepressants and suicidal ideation among children. This study analyzed long-run trends in antidepressant use among children before and after the black box warning for those with and without severe psychological impairment.

methodsThe analysis used data from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey for children ages five to 17, covering years 2000-2011 (N=75,819). The study used multivariate probit models to compare the changes in the rate of any antidepressant use in the early (2004-2007) and late (2008-2011) postwarning years with the rate in the prewarning years (2002-2003). Recycled predictions methods were used to estimate yearly predicted probabilities of use.

resultsAfter adjustment for all covariates, there was a .5% statistically significant decline in the probability of using any antidepressants during the early postwarning years (2004-2007) compared with prewarning years. In the long run (2008-2011), however, there was no statistically significant difference. Five years after the black box warning, the adjusted rates of use increased to their prewarning levels (2.29% in 2003 and 2.26% in 2009). The initial impact of the warning differed between the severe and nonsevere populations, with a significant effect on those with nonsevere psychological impairment.

conclusionsThe return to the rates before the black box warning raises concern that the impact of the warning may have dissipated over time. More frequent updates of the warning might be necessary.

Indexed as

Drug LabelingUnited States Food and Drug AdministrationAdolescentAntidepressive AgentsChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansMaleMental DisordersUnited StatesAntidepressive Agentsantidepressantsblack box warningchildrenFDA

Identifiers

PMID29241433
PMCPMC5942898
OpenAlexW2771543127

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.