Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29238568›Full record

ArticleEcology and evolution2017

Predictions of response to temperature are contingent on model choice and data quality.

Etienne Low-Décarie, Tobias G Boatman, Noah Bennett, Will Passfield, Antonio Gavalás-Olea, Philipp Siegel, Richard J Geider

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ecology and evolution, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Explaining the universality of biological thermal responses.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  9. Avian influenza virus prevalence in marine birds is dependent on ocean temperatures.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2020
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Etienne Low-DécarieSchool of Biological Sciences University of Essex Colchester UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0413-567X
Tobias G BoatmanSchool of Biological Sciences University of Essex Colchester UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7541-3844
Noah BennettSchool of Biological Sciences University of Essex Colchester UK.
Will PassfieldSchool of Biological Sciences University of Essex Colchester UK.
Antonio Gavalás-OleaSchool of Biological Sciences University of Essex Colchester UK.
Philipp SiegelSchool of Biological Sciences University of Essex Colchester UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1755-083X
Richard J GeiderSchool of Biological Sciences University of Essex Colchester UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3276-047X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The equations used to account for the temperature dependence of biological processes, including growth and metabolic rates, are the foundations of our predictions of how global biogeochemistry and biogeography change in response to global climate change. We review and test the use of 12 equations used to model the temperature dependence of biological processes across the full range of their temperature response, including supra- and suboptimal temperatures. We focus on fitting these equations to thermal response curves for phytoplankton growth but also tested the equations on a variety of traits across a wide diversity of organisms. We found that many of the surveyed equations have comparable abilities to fit data and equally high requirements for data quality (number of test temperatures and range of response captured) but lead to different estimates of cardinal temperatures and of the biological rates at these temperatures. When these rate estimates are used for biogeographic predictions, differences between the estimates of even the best-fitting models can exceed the global biological change predicted for a decade of global warming. As a result, studies of the biological response to global changes in temperature must make careful consideration of model selection and of the quality of the data used for parametrizing these models.

Indexed as

biogeographybiotraitglobal changenichethermodynamicwarming

Identifiers

PMID29238568
PMCPMC5723626

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.