Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29230614›Full record

ArticleEcoHealth2018

Translating Predictions of Zoonotic Viruses for Policymakers.

Seth D Judson, Matthew LeBreton, Trevon Fuller, Risa M Hoffman, Kevin Njabo, Timothy F Brewer, Elsa Dibongue, Joseph Diffo, Jean-Marc Feussom Kameni, Severin Loul and 7 more

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in EcoHealth, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Modeling zoonotic and vector-borne viruses.Current opinion in virology · 2024
    Review
  3. Yellow fever in Ghana: Predicting emergence and ecology from historical outbreaks.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Informing Rift Valley Fever preparedness by mapping seasonally varying environmental suitability.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2020
    Article
  8. Regional vulnerability for COVID-19 in Cameroon.The Pan African medical journal · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Seth D JudsonDavid Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, 10833 Le Conte Ave, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, USA. sethdjudson@gmail.com.
Matthew LeBretonMosaic, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Trevon FullerUniversity of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Risa M HoffmanDavid Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, 10833 Le Conte Ave, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, USA.
Kevin NjaboUniversity of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Timothy F BrewerDavid Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, 10833 Le Conte Ave, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, USA.
Elsa DibongueMinistry of Public Health, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Joseph DiffoMetabiota Cameroon, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Jean-Marc Feussom KameniMinistry of Livestock, Fisheries and Animal Industries, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Severin LoulMinistry of Livestock, Fisheries and Animal Industries, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Godwin W NchindaThe Chantal Biya International Reference Centre for Research on the Prevention and Management of HIV/AIDS (CIRCB), Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Richard NjouomCenter Pasteur, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Julius NwobegahayMilitary Health Research Center, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Jean Michel TakuoMetabiota Cameroon, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Judith N TorimiroThe Chantal Biya International Reference Centre for Research on the Prevention and Management of HIV/AIDS (CIRCB), Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Abel WadeNational Veterinary Laboratory (LANAVET) Annex, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Thomas B SmithUniversity of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.

Funding

NSF Partnerships for International Research and Education (PIRE) 1243524
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Recent outbreaks of Ebola virus disease and Zika virus disease highlight the need for disseminating accurate predictions of emerging zoonotic viruses to national governments for disease surveillance and response. Although there are published maps for many emerging zoonotic viruses, it is unknown if there is agreement among different models or if they are concordant with national expert opinion. Therefore, we reviewed existing predictions for five high priority emerging zoonotic viruses with national experts in Cameroon to investigate these issues and determine how to make predictions more useful for national policymakers. Predictive maps relied primarily on environmental parameters and species distribution models. Rift Valley fever virus and Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus predictions differed from national expert opinion, potentially because of local livestock movements. Our findings reveal that involving national experts could elicit additional data to improve predictions of emerging pathogens as well as help repackage predictions for policymakers.

Indexed as

AnimalsAnimals, WildCameroonGeographic MappingHemorrhagic Fever, CrimeanHemorrhagic Fever, EbolaHumansLassa FeverMarburg Virus DiseasePolicy MakingRift Valley FeverZoonosesArenaviridaeBunyaviridaeEbola virusFiloviridaeHemorrhagic feversRiskViralVirus diseasesViruses

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.