Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29230429›Full record

ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2017

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Probiotic Use to Prevent

Nicole T Shen, Jared A Leff, Yecheskel Schneider, Carl V Crawford, Anna Maw, Brian Bosworth, Matthew S Simon

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.5field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 20 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Probiotics in hospitalized adult patients: a systematic review of economic evaluations.Canadian journal of anaesthesia = Journal canadien d'anesthesie · 2020
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Clostridioides difficile Infections: Prevention and Treatment Strategies.Advances in experimental medicine and biology · 2024
    Review
  6. Review
  7. Feasibility of aNutrients · 2018
    Article
  8. Global & regional health technology assessment
    Article
  9. An Updated Review of Clostridium difficile Treatment in Pediatrics.The journal of pediatric pharmacology and therapeutics : JPPT : the official journal of PPAG
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Nicole T ShenDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine.
Jared A LeffDepartment of Healthcare Policy and Research, and.
Yecheskel SchneiderDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine.
Carl V CrawfordDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine.
Anna MawHospitalist Medicine Section, Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Colorado, Denver.
Brian BosworthDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, New York University, New York.
Matthew S SimonDepartment of Healthcare Policy and Research, and.
Cornell University · USNew York University · USUniversity of Colorado Denver · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSystematic reviews with meta-analyses and meta-regression suggest that timely probiotic use can prevent

methodsWe programmed a decision analytic model using published literature and national databases with a 1-year time horizon. The base case was modeled as a hypothetical cohort of hospitalized adults (mean age 68) receiving antibiotics with and without concurrent probiotic administration. Projected outcomes included quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), costs (2013 US dollars), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs; $/QALY), and cost per infection avoided. One-way, two-way, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted, and scenarios of different age cohorts were considered. The ICERs less than $100000 per QALY were considered cost effective.

resultsProbiotic use dominated (more effective and less costly) no probiotic use. Results were sensitive to probiotic efficacy (relative risk <0.73), the baseline risk of CDI (>1.6%), the risk of probiotic-associated bactermia/fungemia (<0.26%), probiotic cost (<$130), and age (>65). In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100000/QALY, probiotics were the optimal strategy in 69.4% of simulations.

conclusionsOur findings suggest that probiotic use may be a cost-effective strategy to prevent CDI in hospitalized adults receiving antibiotics age 65 or older or when the baseline risk of CDI exceeds 1.6%.

Indexed as

antibiotic-associated diarrheaClostridium difficilecost-effectivenesspreventionprobiotic

Identifiers

PMID29230429
PMCPMC5692276
OpenAlexW2738414106

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.