Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29226214›Full record

ArticleSSM - population health2017

The legacy of slavery and contemporary declines in heart disease mortality in the U.S. South.

Michael R Kramer, Nyesha C Black, Stephen A Matthews, Sherman A James

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in SSM - population health, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 47 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
47citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

47 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Historical slavery predicts contemporary disparities in mortality between Black and White Americans.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  12. Conceptualizing and Measuring Systemic Racism.Annual review of public health · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Michael R KramerDepartment of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA 30322.
Nyesha C BlackSociology, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL 35203.
Stephen A MatthewsProfessor of Sociology, Anthropology & Demography, Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA 16802.
Sherman A JamesEpidemiology & African American Studies, Emory University, Atlanta, GA 30322.

Funding

Geography of opportunity: Neighborhood dynamics and child cognitive developmentK01HD074726 · NICHD · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI KRAMER, MICHAEL ROOT · 2013 to 2017
$596k
NICHD NIH HHS K01 HD074726
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study aims to characterize the role of county-specific legacy of slavery in patterning temporal (i.e., 1968-2014), and geographic (i.e., Southern counties) declines in heart disease mortality. In this context, the U.S. has witnessed dramatic declines in heart disease mortality since the 1960's, which have benefitted place and race groups unevenly, with slower declines in the South, especially for the Black population.

methodsAge-adjusted race- and county-specific mortality rates from 1968-2014 for all diseases of the heart were calculated for all Southern U.S. counties. Candidate confounding and mediating covariates from 1860, 1930, and 1970, were combined with mortality data in multivariable regression models to estimate the ecological association between the concentration of slavery in1860 and declines in heart disease mortality from 1968-2014.

resultsBlack populations, in counties with a history of highest versus lowest concentration of slavery, experienced a 17% slower decline in heart disease mortality. The association for Black populations varied by region (stronger in Deep South than Upper South states) and was partially explained by intervening socioeconomic factors. In models accounting for spatial autocorrelation, there was no association between slave concentration and heart disease mortality decline for Whites.

conclusionsNearly 50 years of declining heart disease mortality is a major public health success, but one marked by uneven progress by place and race. At the county level, progress in heart disease mortality reduction among Blacks is associated with place-based historical legacy of slavery. Effective and equitable public health prevention efforts should consider the historical context of place and the social and economic institutions that may play a role in facilitating or impeding diffusion of prevention efforts thereby producing heart healthy places and populations. Graphical abstract.

Indexed as

GeographyHeart diseasesMortality declineRaceSlavery

Identifiers

PMID29226214
PMCPMC5718368

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.