Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29210203›Full record

ArticleInfluenza and other respiratory viruses2018

The effects of the attributable fraction and the duration of symptoms on burden estimates of influenza-associated respiratory illnesses in a high HIV prevalence setting, South Africa, 2013-2015.

Stefano Tempia, Sibongile Walaza, Jocelyn Moyes, Adam L Cohen, Claire von Mollendorf, Meredith L McMorrow, Sarona Mhlanga, Florette K Treurnicht, Marietjie Venter, Marthi Pretorius and 9 more

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Article in Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

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20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  3. The added value of serologic testing: A comparison of influenza incidence among pregnant persons based on molecular-based surveillance versus serologic testing.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2024
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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Stefano TempiaInfluenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4395-347X
Sibongile WalazaCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Jocelyn MoyesCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Adam L CohenInfluenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Claire von MollendorfCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Meredith L McMorrowInfluenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Sarona MhlangaCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Florette K TreurnichtCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Marietjie VenterCentre for Viral Zoonoses, Department of Medical Virology, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa.
Marthi PretoriusCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Orienka HellfersceeCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0001-9246-8927
Nicole WolterCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Anne von GottbergCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Arthemon NguwenezaCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Johanna M McAnerneyCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Halima DawoodDepartment of Medicine, Pietermaritzburg Metropolitan Hospital, Pietermaritzburg, South Africa.
Ebrahim VariavaDepartment of Medicine, Klerksdorp-Tshepong Hospital Complex, Klerksdorp, South Africa.
Shabir A MadhiCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Cheryl CohenCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.

Funding

Research on the Epidemiology,Prevention,Vaccine Effectiveness and Treatment of Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses in South Africa.09U01IP001048 · IP · NATIONAL HEALTH LABORATORY SERVICE · PI COHEN, CHERYL · 2016 to 2020
$19.9M
South African Preparedness for Rapid Detection of Highly Pathogenic Avian InfluenU51IP000155 · IP · NATIONAL INST FOR COMMUNICABLE DISEASES · PI VENTER, MARIETJIE · 2007 to 2010
$6.7M
NCIRD CDC HHS U01 IP001048NCIRD CDC HHS U51 IP000155World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe attributable fraction of influenza virus detection to illness (INF-AF) and the duration of symptoms as a surveillance inclusion criterion could potentially have substantial effects on influenza disease burden estimates.

methodsWe estimated rates of influenza-associated influenza-like illness (ILI) and severe acute (SARI-10) or chronic (SCRI-10) respiratory illness (using a symptom duration cutoff of ≤10 days) among HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected patients attending 3 hospitals and 2 affiliated clinics in South Africa during 2013-2015. We calculated the unadjusted and INF-AF-adjusted rates and relative risk (RR) due to HIV infection. Rates were expressed per 100 000 population.

resultsThe estimated mean annual unadjusted rates of influenza-associated illness were 1467.7, 50.3, and 27.4 among patients with ILI, SARI-10, and SCRI-10, respectively. After adjusting for the INF-AF, the percent reduction in the estimated rates was 8.9% (rate: 1336.9), 11.0% (rate: 44.8), and 16.3% (rate: 22.9) among patients with ILI, SARI-10, and SCRI-10, respectively. HIV-infected compared to HIV-uninfected individuals experienced a 2.3 (95% CI: 2.2-2.4)-, 9.7 (95% CI: 8.0-11.8)-, and 10.0 (95% CI: 7.9-12.7)-fold increased risk of influenza-associated illness among patients with ILI, SARI-10, and SCRI-10, respectively. Overall 34% of the estimated influenza-associated hospitalizations had symptom duration of >10 days; 8% and 44% among individuals aged <5 and ≥5 years, respectively.

conclusionThe marginal differences between unadjusted and INF-AF-adjusted rates are unlikely to affect policies on prioritization of interventions. HIV-infected individuals experienced an increased risk of influenza-associated illness and may benefit more from annual influenza immunization. The use of a symptom duration cutoff of ≤10 days may underestimate influenza-associated disease burden, especially in older individuals.

Indexed as

Cost of IllnessEpidemiological MonitoringAdolescentAdultAgedChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansInfluenza, HumanMaleMiddle AgedNasopharynxOrthomyxoviridaePrevalenceattributable fractionHIVinfluenzainfluenza-like illnessratessevere respiratory illnessSouth Africasymptom duration

Identifiers

PMID29210203
PMCPMC5907815

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.