Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29207944›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2017

Incidence of breast cancer in Chinese women exposed to the 1959-1961 great Chinese famine.

Dandan He, Yuan Fang, Marc J Gunter, Dongli Xu, Yanping Zhao, Jie Zhou, Hong Fang, Wang Hong Xu

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.8field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Epigenetic Biomarkers for Environmental Exposures and Personalized Breast Cancer Prevention.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Dandan HeCenter for Disease Control and Prevention of Minhang District, 965 Zhong Yi Road, Shanghai, 201101, China.
Yuan FangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University; Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education (Fudan University), 138 Yi Xue Yuan Road, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Marc J GunterSection of Nutrition and Metabolism, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, 69008, Lyon, France.
Dongli XuCenter for Disease Control and Prevention of Minhang District, 965 Zhong Yi Road, Shanghai, 201101, China.
Yanping ZhaoCenter for Disease Control and Prevention of Minhang District, 965 Zhong Yi Road, Shanghai, 201101, China.
Jie ZhouCenter for Disease Control and Prevention of Minhang District, 965 Zhong Yi Road, Shanghai, 201101, China.
Hong FangCenter for Disease Control and Prevention of Minhang District, 965 Zhong Yi Road, Shanghai, 201101, China. mhcdcfh@126.com.
Wang Hong XuDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University; Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education (Fudan University), 138 Yi Xue Yuan Road, Shanghai, 200032, China. wanghong.xu@fudan.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2045-2218
Shanghai Municipal Center For Disease Control Prevention · CNFudan University · CNCentre international de recherche sur le cancer · FR

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe association of malnutrition in early life with breast cancer risk has been studied in Europe by investigating survivors of the Dutch Hunger Winter Famine, but not in China. We evaluated the effect of exposure to the 1959-1961 Great Leap Forward famine on subsequent breast cancer risk in Chinese women.

methodsA total of 59,060 women born in 1955~1966 were recruited from Minhang district, Shanghai, China, during the period 2008 to 2012. A baseline survey was conducted to collect demographic characteristics and known risk factors for breast cancer. Incident breast cancers were identified by conducting record linkage with the Shanghai Cancer Registry up to June 30, 2015, and confirmed through medical records. Cumulative probabilities of cancer incidence were evaluated after adjusting for age, educational level and other confounders. Cox regression models were applied to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of breast cancer.

resultsThe overall crude incidence of in situ and invasive breast cancer were 19.2 and 115.0 per 100,000, respectively, in women conceived or born during the famine (1959-1962), slightly higher than those in women born before (1955-1958) (13.2 and 109.8/100,000) and after (1963-1966) (10.4 and 101.5/100,000). Particularly, at age group of 50-52 years when all participants contributed person-year of observations, the age-specific incidence of invasive breast cancer was higher in pre-natal exposed women (123.7/100,000, 95%CI: 94.5-161.9/100,000) than in post-natal exposed (109.6/100,000, 95%CI: 69.1-174.0/100,000) and unexposed women (82.7/100,000, 95%CI: 46.9-145.7/100,000). However, the incidence of cancer in situ was slightly lower in pre-natal exposed women at the age group. Adjusted cumulative probabilities of breast cancer incidence, both in-situ and invasive, were also observed to be higher in women exposed to the famine, however, the difference was not statistically significant.

conclusionOur results suggest a possible adverse, but limited, impact of exposure to the Great famine on the risk of breast cancer in Chinese women.

Indexed as

StarvationBreast NeoplasmsCarcinoma, Ductal, BreastCarcinoma, Intraductal, NoninfiltratingChinaFemaleHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsBreast cancerChinese womenIncidenceThe great leap forward famine

Identifiers

PMID29207944
PMCPMC5718143
OpenAlexW2775225890

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.