ArticleApplied stochastic models in business and industry
Clinical Trial Design as a Decision Problem.
Article in Applied stochastic models in business and industry. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Adaptive treatment allocation and selection in multi-arm clinical trials: a Bayesian perspective.BMC medical research methodology · 2022Article
- Estimating optimal dynamic treatment strategies under resource constraints using dynamic marginal structural models.Statistics in medicine · 2021Article
- Bayesian Methods in Regulatory Science.Statistics in biopharmaceutical research · 2020Article
- Bayesian Utility-Based Designs for Subgroup-Specific Treatment Comparison and Early-Phase Dose Optimization in Oncology Clinical Trials.JCO precision oncology · 2019Review
- Applying Probabilistic Decision Models to Clinical Trial Design.AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science proceedings. AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science · 2018Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The intent of this discussion is to highlight opportunities and limitations of utility-based and decision theoretic arguments in clinical trial design. The discussion is based on a specific case study, but the arguments and principles remain valid in general. The example concerns the design of a randomized clinical trial to compare a gel sealant versus standard care for resolving air leaks after pulmonary resection. The design follows a principled approach to optimal decision making, including a probability model for the unknown distributions of time to resolution of air leaks under the two treatment arms, and an explicit utility function that quantifies clinical preferences for alternative outcomes. As is typical for any real application, the final implementation includes some compromises from the initial principled setup. In particular, we use the formal decision problem only for the final decision, but use reasonable
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.