ArticleScientific reports2017
A Synthetic Population for Modelling the Dynamics of Infectious Disease Transmission in American Samoa.
Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Incorporating human dynamic populations in models of infectious disease transmission: a systematic review.BMC infectious diseases · 2022Pooled it
- A National Synthetic Populations Dataset for the United States.Scientific data · 2025Article
- Generating synthetic population for simulating the spatiotemporal dynamics of epidemics.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- Lymphatic filariasis endgame strategies: Using GEOFIL to model mass drug administration and targeted surveillance and treatment strategies in American Samoa.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2023Article
- A synthetic population for agent-based modelling in Canada.Scientific data · 2023Article
- Synthetic data in health care: A narrative review.PLOS digital health · 2023Article
- Lymphatic filariasis in 2016 in American Samoa: Identifying clustering and hotspots using non-spatial and three spatial analytical methods.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2022Article
- Clinical management and mortality among COVID-19 cases in sub-Saharan Africa: A retrospective study from Burkina Faso and simulated case analysis.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2020Article
- Uncovering temporal changes in Europe's population density patterns using a data fusion approach.Nature communications · 2020Article
- Development of a Synthetic Population Model for Assessing Excess Risk for Cardiovascular Disease Death.JAMA network open · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Agent-based modelling is a useful approach for capturing heterogeneity in disease transmission. In this study, a synthetic population was developed for American Samoa using an iterative approach based on population census, questionnaire survey and land use data. The population will be used as the basis for a new agent-based model, intended specifically to fill the knowledge gaps about lymphatic filariasis transmission and elimination, but also to be readily adaptable to model other infectious diseases. The synthetic population was characterized by the statistically realistic population and household structure, and high-resolution geographic locations of households. The population was simulated over 40 years from 2010 to 2050. The simulated population was compared to estimates and projections of the U.S. Census Bureau. The results showed the total population would continuously decrease due to the observed large number of emigrants. Population ageing was observed, which was consistent with the latest two population censuses and the Bureau's projections. The sex ratios by age groups were analysed and indicated an increase in the proportion of males in age groups 0-14 and 15-64. The household size followed a Gaussian distribution with an average size of around 5.0 throughout the simulation, slightly less than the initial average size 5.6.
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