ArticleEcology and evolution2017
Likelihood of changes in forest species suitability, distribution, and diversity under future climate: The case of Southern Europe.
Article in Ecology and evolution, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- Conversion from coniferous to broadleaved trees can make European forests more climate-effective.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Article
- Strategic roadmap to assess forest vulnerability under air pollution and climate change.Global change biology · 2022Review
- Potential Impacts of Climate Change on the Habitat Suitability of the Dominant Tree Species in Greece.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Projected climate-driven changes in pollen emission season length and magnitude over the continental United States.Nature communications · 2022Article
- EU-Trees4F, a dataset on the future distribution of European tree species.Scientific data · 2022Article
- Tackling unresolved questions in forest ecology: The past and future role of simulation models.Ecology and evolution · 2021Review
- A new global dataset of bioclimatic indicators.Scientific data · 2020Article
- Responses of four dominant dryland plant species to climate change in the Junggar Basin, northwest China.Ecology and evolution · 2019Article
- Thinning Can Reduce Losses in Carbon Use Efficiency and Carbon Stocks in Managed Forests Under Warmer Climate.Journal of advances in modeling earth systems · 2018Article
- Likelihood of changes in forest species suitability, distribution, and diversity under future climate: The case of Southern Europe.Ecology and evolution · 2017Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Forest conservation strategies and plans can be unsuccessful if the new habitat conditions determined by climate change are not considered. Our work aims at investigating the likelihood of future suitability, distribution and diversity for some common European forest species under the projected changes in climate, focusing on Southern Europe. We combine an Ensemble Platform for Species Distribution Models (SDMs) to five Global Circulation Models (GCMs) driven by two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), to produce maps of future climate-driven habitat suitability for ten categories of forest species and two time horizons. For each forest category and time horizon, ten maps of future distribution (5 GCMs by 2 RCPs) are thus combined in a single suitability map supplied with information about the "likelihood" adopting the IPCC terminology based on consensus among projections. Then, the statistical significance of spatially aggregated changes in forest composition at local and regional level is analyzed. Finally, we discuss the importance, among SDMs, that environmental predictors seem to have in influencing forest distribution. Future impacts of climate change appear to be diversified across forest categories. A strong change in forest regional distribution and local diversity is projected to take place, as some forest categories will find more suitable conditions in previously unsuitable locations, while for other categories the same new conditions will become less suited. A decrease in species diversity is projected in most of the area, with Alpine region showing the potentiality to become a refuge for species migration.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.