Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29168249›Full record

ArticleDrug and alcohol review2018

Violent crime redistribution in a city following a substantial increase in the number of off-sale alcohol outlets: A Bayesian analysis.

Dennis M Gorman, William R Ponicki, Qi Zheng, Daikwon Han, Paul J Gruenewald, Andrew J Gaidus

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drug and alcohol review, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  10. Alcohol Outlet Clusters and Population Disparities.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2020
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Dennis M GormanDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Texas A&M University, College Station, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9833-8744
William R PonickiPrevention Research Center, Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation, Oakland, USA.
Qi ZhengDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Texas A&M University, College Station, USA.
Daikwon HanDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Texas A&M University, College Station, USA.
Paul J GruenewaldPrevention Research Center, Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation, Oakland, USA.
Andrew J GaidusPrevention Research Center, Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation, Oakland, USA.

Funding

Transitions and Alcohol Use in the Later Lifespan: Environmental and Individual-level InfluencesP60AA006282 · NIAAA · PACIFIC INSTITUTE FOR RES AND EVALUATION · PI PAUL J GRUENEWALD · 2003 to 2026
$41.2M
WORK AND DRINKINGP50AA006282 · NIAAA · PREVENTION RESEARCH CENTER · PI HOLDER, HAROLD D · 1985 to 2002
$4.6M
Development and Validation of Agent-Based Models of Alcohol-Related ViolenceR21AA020093 · NIAAA · TEXAS A&M UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCE CTR · PI GORMAN, DENNIS · 2011 to 2012
$378k
NIAAA NIH HHS P50 AA006282NIAAA NIH HHS P60 AA006282NIAAA NIH HHS R21 AA020093
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

INTRODUCTION AND

aimsThis study examined whether the introduction of a large number of off-premise alcohol outlets into a city over a brief period of time could affect rates of violent crime. DESIGN AND

methodsThe study analysed annual counts of violent crime across 172 US Census block groups in Lubbock, Texas from 2006 through 2011. Spatial Poisson models related annual violent crime counts within each block group to off-premise and on-premise alcohol outlets active during this time period as well as neighbourhood socio-demographic characteristics. The effects of alcohol outlets were assessed both within block groups and across adjacent block groups.

resultsOn-premise outlets had a small, significant positive association with violence within a given block group. A similar well-supported local effect for off-premise outlets was not found. However, the spatially lagged effect for off-sale premises was well-supported, indicating that greater densities of these outlets were related to greater rates of violent crime in adjacent areas. DISCUSSION AND

conclusionsWhile these analyses confirmed a previous time-series analysis in finding no city-wide effect of the increase in off-premise outlets, they do suggest that such outlets in a local area may be related to violence in nearby geographic areas. They indicate the importance of examining neighbourhood-specific effects of alcohol outlets on violence in addition to the city-wide effects. They also present further evidence supporting the need to examine the differential effects of on-sale and off-sale premises.

Indexed as

Alcohol DrinkingAlcoholic BeveragesLicensureCrimeHumansSocioeconomic FactorsTexasViolencealcohol outletsBayesian analysisoff-sale premisesviolent crime

Identifiers

PMID29168249
PMCPMC6231714

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.