Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29165706›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2018

Cholera Epidemics of the Past Offer New Insights Into an Old Enemy.

Matthew Phelps, Mads Linnet Perner, Virginia E Pitzer, Viggo Andreasen, Peter K M Jensen, Lone Simonsen

Abstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed.

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  11. Population genomics of diarrheagenic Escherichia coli uncovers high connectivity between urban and rural communities in Ecuador.Infection, genetics and evolution : journal of molecular epidemiology and evolutionary genetics in infectious diseases · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Matthew PhelpsCopenhagen Center for Disaster Research, Department of Public Health, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
Mads Linnet PernerCopenhagen Center for Disaster Research, Department of Public Health, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
Virginia E PitzerDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut.
Viggo AndreasenDepartment of Science and the Environment, Roskilde University, Denmark.
Peter K M JensenCopenhagen Center for Disaster Research, Department of Public Health, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
Lone SimonsenCopenhagen Center for Disaster Research, Department of Public Health, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.

Funding

Modeling the impact and cost-effectiveness of next-generation rotavirus vaccine strategies in low- and middle-income countriesR01AI112970 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI PITZER, VIRGINIA E · 2015 to 2024
$4.1M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI112970
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Although cholera is considered the quintessential long-cycle waterborne disease, studies have emphasized the existence of short-cycle (food, household) transmission. We investigated singular Danish cholera epidemics (in 1853) to elucidate epidemiological parameters and modes of spread. Methods: Using time series data from cities with different water systems, we estimated the intrinsic transmissibility (R0). Accessing cause-specific mortality data, we studied clinical severity and age-specific impact. From physicians' narratives we established transmission chains and estimated serial intervals. Results: Epidemics were seeded by travelers from cholera-affected cities; initial transmission chains involving household members and caretakers ensued. Cholera killed 3.4%-8.9% of the populations, with highest mortality among seniors (16%) and lowest in children (2.7%). Transmissibility (R0) was 1.7-2.6 and the serial interval was estimated at 3.7 days (95% confidence interval, 2.9-4.7 days). The case fatality ratio (CFR) was high (54%-68%); using R0 we computed an adjusted CFR of 4%-5%. Conclusions: Short-cycle transmission was likely critical to early secondary transmission in historic Danish towns. The outbreaks resembled the contemporary Haiti outbreak with respect to transmissibility, age patterns, and CFR, suggesting a role for broader hygiene/sanitation interventions to control contemporary outbreaks.

Indexed as

Disease Transmission, InfectiousAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBasic Reproduction NumberChildChild, PreschoolCholeraCitiesDenmarkEpidemicsFemaleHistory, 19th CenturyHumansInfantcholeraepidemicsepidemiologyhistoricalR0transmission patterns

Identifiers

PMID29165706
PMCPMC5853221

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.