Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29162205›Full record

ArticleEuro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin2017

Gastroenteritis outbreaks on cruise ships: contributing factors and thresholds for early outbreak detection.

Varvara A Mouchtouri, Eleni Verykouki, Dumitru Zamfir, Christos Hadjipetris, Hannah C Lewis, Christos Hadjichristodoulou, EU SHIPSAN ACT partnership

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Varvara A MouchtouriDepartment of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece.
Eleni VerykoukiDepartment of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece.
Dumitru ZamfirCelestyal Cruises, Piraeus, Greece.
Christos HadjipetrisCelestyal Cruises, Piraeus, Greece.
Hannah C LewisRobert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany.
Christos HadjichristodoulouDepartment of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece.
EU SHIPSAN ACT partnershipThe members of the group are listed at the end of the article.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

When an increased number of acute gastroenteritis (AG) cases is detected among tourists staying at the same accommodation, outbreak management plans must be activated in a timely manner to prevent large outbreaks. Syndromic surveillance data collected between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2013 by five seagoing cruise ships were analysed to identify attack rate thresholds for early outbreak detection. The overall incidence rate of AG was 2.81 cases per 10,000 traveller-days (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.00-17.60), while the attack rate was 19.37 cases per 10,000 travellers (95% CI: 0.00-127.69). The probability of an outbreak occurring was 11% if 4 per 1,000 passengers reported symptoms within the first 2 days of the voyage, and this increased to 23 % if 5 per 1,000 passengers reported such within the first 3 days. The risk ratio (RR) for outbreak occurrence was 2.35, 5.66 and 8.63 for 1, 2 and 3 days' delay of symptoms reporting respectively, suggesting a dose-response relationship. Shipping companies' policies and health authorities' efforts may consider these thresholds for initiating outbreak response measures based on the number of cases according to day of cruise. Efforts should focus on ensuring travellers report symptoms immediately and comply with isolation measures.

Indexed as

Sentinel SurveillanceShipsTravelAdultDiarrheaDisease NotificationDisease OutbreaksEarly DiagnosisFemaleGastroenteritisHumansIncidenceMiddle Agedcruisegastroenteritishealthmaritimenorovirusshipthresholdtravel

Identifiers

PMID29162205
PMCPMC5718393

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.