ArticleAmerican journal of public health2018
Meeting the Institute of Medicine's 2030 US Life Expectancy Target.
Article in American journal of public health, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed.
- Emerging political and demographic divides: State politics, welfare generosity, and adult mortality in U.S. states 1977-2017.Health & place · 2021Article
- Reduction in US Health Care Spending Required to Meet the Institute of Medicine's 2030 Target.American journal of public health · 2020Article
- Why Did Cross-National Divergences in Life Expectancy and Health Care Expenditures Both Appear in the 1980s?American journal of public health · 2020Article
- Healthier People: Setting Targets for Life Expectancy and Health Care Expenditures.American journal of public health · 2020Article
- Changing the Public's Health Story: Reducing Wasteful Medical Care Spending-Introduction to the SpecialAmerican journal of public health · 2020Article
- Making America Great.Journal of general internal medicine · 2019Article
- The Complicity of the Population Health Scientist.The Milbank quarterly · 2018Article
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3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
objectivesTo quantify the improvement in US life expectancy required to reach parity with high-resource nations by 2030, to document historical precedent of this rate, and to discuss the plausibility of achieving this rate in the United States.
methodsWe performed a demographic analysis of secondary data in 5-year periods from 1985 to 2015.
resultsTo achieve the United Nations projected mortality estimates for Western Europe in 2030, the US life expectancy must grow at 0.32% a year between 2016 and 2030. This rate has precedent, even in low-mortality populations. Over 204 country-periods examined, nearly half exhibited life-expectancy growth greater than 0.32%. Of the 51 US states observed, 8.2% of state-periods demonstrated life-expectancy growth that exceeded the 0.32% target.
conclusionsAchieving necessary growth in life expectancy over the next 15 years despite historical precedent will be challenging. Much all-cause mortality is structured decades earlier and, at present, older-age mortality reductions in the United States are decelerating. Addressing mortality decline at all ages will require enhanced political will and a strong commitment to equity improvement in the US population.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.