Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29142971›Full record

ArticleKidney international reports2017

Total Kidney Volume Is a Prognostic Biomarker of Renal Function Decline and Progression to End-Stage Renal Disease in Patients With Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease.

Ronald D Perrone, Mohamad-Samer Mouksassi, Klaus Romero, Frank S Czerwiec, Arlene B Chapman, Berenice Y Gitomer, Vicente E Torres, Dana C Miskulin, Steve Broadbent, Jean F Marier

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Kidney international reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 78 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
78citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

78 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Guideline
  4. Pooled it
  5. Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Trial
  8. Trial
  9. Article
  10. Evolution of Clinical Trial Design in ADPKD.Kidney international reports · 2026
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. ADPKD Progression by Variant Type and Molecular Domain Among Participants in the HALT PKD Trial.Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN · 2025
    Article
  14. End Point Selection in ADPKD Clinical Trials.Kidney international reports · 2025
    Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. CKD Risk Stratification: The Emerging Role of Kidney Volume Imaging.Journal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN · 2024
    Article

18 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Ronald D PerroneDivision of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Mohamad-Samer MouksassiPharsight, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Klaus RomeroCritical Path Institute, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
Frank S CzerwiecOtsuka Pharmaceutical Development and Commercialization Inc., Global Clinical Development, Rockville, Maryland, USA.
Arlene B ChapmanDivision of Nephrology, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Berenice Y GitomerDivision of Renal Diseases and Hypertension, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Vicente E TorresDivision of Nephrology and Hypertension, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Minnesota, USA.
Dana C MiskulinDivision of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Steve BroadbentCritical Path Institute, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
Jean F MarierPharsight, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.

Funding

Pilot and FeasibilityP30DK090728 · NIDDK · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI ROMERO, MICHAEL F. · 2010 to 2019
$11.8M
Regulation of Growth and Epithelial Transport in ADPKDP01DK034039 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI SCHRIER, ROBERT W · 1986 to 2005
$6.3M
The Early Collaborative Clinical Studies in PKD: The C*U01DK056956 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI CHAPMAN, ARLENE B · 2000 to 2016
$6.0M
RENIN ANGIOTENSIN SYSTEM IN THE PATHOGENESIS OF ADPKDR01DK044863 · NIDDK · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI TORRES, VICENTE E · 1991 to 2019
$4.5M
Human Polycystic Kidney DiseaseR56DK034039 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI SCHRIER, ROBERT W · 2007 to 2007
$92k
NIDDK NIH HHS P01 DK034039NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK090728NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK044863NIDDK NIH HHS R56 DK034039NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK056956
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionAutosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease is the most common hereditary kidney disease. TKV is a promising imaging biomarker for tracking and predicting the natural history of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease. The prognostic value of TKV was evaluated, in combination with age and eGFR, for the outcomes of 30% decline in eGFR and progression to ESRD. Observational data including 2355 patients with TKV measurements were available.

methodsMultivariable Cox models were developed to assess the prognostic value of age, TKV, height-adjusted TKV, eGFR, sex, race, and genotype for the probability of a 30% decline in eGFR or ESRD.

resultsTKV was the most important prognostic term for 30% decline in eGFR in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease patients with and without preserved baseline eGFR. For a 40-year-old subject with preserved eGFR (70 ml/min per 1.73 m DISCUSSION: The capability to predict 30% decline in eGFR is a novel aspect of this study. TKV was formally qualified, both by FDA and EMA, as a prognostic enrichment biomarker for selecting patients at high risk for a progressive decline in renal function for inclusion in interventional clinical trials.

Indexed as

end-stage renal diseaseprognostic biomarkerrenal function declinetotal kidney volume

Identifiers

PMID29142971
PMCPMC5678856

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.