Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29134125›Full record

ArticleFuture science OA2017

How is the weather? Forecasting inpatient glycemic control.

George E Saulnier, Janna C Castro, Curtiss B Cook, Bithika M Thompson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Future science OA, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

George E SaulnierDepartment of Information Technology, Mayo Clinic Hospital, Phoenix, AZ 85054, USA.
Janna C CastroDepartment of Information Technology, Mayo Clinic Hospital, Phoenix, AZ 85054, USA.
Curtiss B CookDivision of Endocrinology, Mayo Clinic Hospital, Phoenix, AZ 85054, USA.
Bithika M ThompsonDivision of Endocrinology, Mayo Clinic Hospital, Phoenix, AZ 85054, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimApply methods of damped trend analysis to forecast inpatient glycemic control.

methodObserved and calculated point-of-care blood glucose data trends were determined over 62 weeks. Mean absolute percent error was used to calculate differences between observed and forecasted values. Comparisons were drawn between model results and linear regression forecasting.

resultsThe forecasted mean glucose trends observed during the first 24 and 48 weeks of projections compared favorably to the results provided by linear regression forecasting. However, in some scenarios, the damped trend method changed inferences compared with linear regression. In all scenarios, mean absolute percent error values remained below the 10% accepted by demand industries.

conclusionResults indicate that forecasting methods historically applied within demand industries can project future inpatient glycemic control. Additional study is needed to determine if forecasting is useful in the analyses of other glucometric parameters and, if so, how to apply the techniques to quality improvement.

Indexed as

forecastinghyperglycemiainpatientoperational research

Identifiers

PMID29134125
PMCPMC5674270

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.