Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29122432›Full record

ArticleAnnals of epidemiology2017

Widespread recent increases in county-level heart disease mortality across age groups.

Adam S Vaughan, Matthew D Ritchey, Judy Hannan, Michael R Kramer, Michele Casper

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of epidemiology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 51 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
51citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

51 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Adam S VaughanDivision for Heart Disease and Stroke Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA. Electronic address: xha4@cdc.gov.
Matthew D RitcheyDivision for Heart Disease and Stroke Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.
Judy HannanDivision for Heart Disease and Stroke Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.
Michael R KramerDepartment of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA.
Michele CasperDivision for Heart Disease and Stroke Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.

Funding

Geography of opportunity: Neighborhood dynamics and child cognitive developmentK01HD074726 · NICHD · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI KRAMER, MICHAEL ROOT · 2013 to 2017
$596k
Intramural CDC HHS CC999999NICHD NIH HHS K01 HD074726
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeRecent national trends show decelerating declines in heart disease mortality, especially among younger adults. National trends may mask variation by geography and age. We examined recent county-level trends in heart disease mortality by age group.

methodsUsing a Bayesian statistical model and National Vital Statistics Systems data, we estimated overall rates and percent change in heart disease mortality from 2010 through 2015 for four age groups (35-44, 45-54, 55-64, and 65-74 years) in 3098 US counties.

resultsNationally, heart disease mortality declined in every age group except ages 55-64 years. County-level trends by age group showed geographically widespread increases, with 52.3%, 58.5%, 69.1%, and 42.0% of counties experiencing increases with median percent changes of 0.6%, 2.2%, 4.6%, and -1.5% for ages 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, and 65-74 years, respectively. Increases were more likely in counties with initially high heart disease mortality and outside large metropolitan areas.

conclusionsRecent national trends have masked local increases in heart disease mortality. These increases, especially among adults younger than age 65 years, represent challenges to communities across the country. Reversing these trends may require intensification of primary and secondary prevention-focusing policies, strategies, and interventions on younger populations, especially those living in less urban counties.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionBayes TheoremCause of DeathFemaleGeographyHeart DiseasesHumansMaleMiddle AgedMortalityUnited StatesUrban PopulationAge groupsGeographyHeart diseasesMortality declineMortality rates

Identifiers

PMID29122432
PMCPMC5733620

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.