Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29116373›Full record

ArticleJournal of mathematical biology2018

The fundamental theorem of natural selection with mutations.

William F Basener, John C Sanford

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of mathematical biology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 47 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Evolution expresses the second law of thermodynamics in action.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2026
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  12. Origin of Life: The Point of No Return.Life (Basel, Switzerland) · 2020
    Article
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  14. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

William F BasenerRochester Institute of Technology, 1 Lomb Memorial Drive, Rochester, NY, 14623, USA. william.basener@rit.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8593-2362
John C SanfordHorticulture Section, NYSAES, 630 West North Street, Geneva, New York, 14456, USA.
Rochester Institute of Technology · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The mutation-selection process is the most fundamental mechanism of evolution. In 1935, R. A. Fisher proved his fundamental theorem of natural selection, providing a model in which the rate of change of mean fitness is equal to the genetic variance of a species. Fisher did not include mutations in his model, but believed that mutations would provide a continual supply of variance resulting in perpetual increase in mean fitness, thus providing a foundation for neo-Darwinian theory. In this paper we re-examine Fisher's Theorem, showing that because it disregards mutations, and because it is invalid beyond one instant in time, it has limited biological relevance. We build a differential equations model from Fisher's first principles with mutations added, and prove a revised theorem showing the rate of change in mean fitness is equal to genetic variance plus a mutational effects term. We refer to our revised theorem as the fundamental theorem of natural selection with mutations. Our expanded theorem, and our associated analyses (analytic computation, numerical simulation, and visualization), provide a clearer understanding of the mutation-selection process, and allow application of biologically realistic parameters such as mutational effects. The expanded theorem has biological implications significantly different from what Fisher had envisioned.

Indexed as

Models, GeneticMutationSelection, GeneticAnimalsComputational BiologyComputer SimulationGenetic DeterminismGenetic FitnessGenetics, PopulationGenetic VariationHumansMathematical ConceptsNormal DistributionPopulation DynamicsSystems AnalysisTime FactorsFisherFitnessFundamental theorem of natural selectionMutational meltdownMutationsNatural selectionPopulation dynamicsPopulation genetics

Identifiers

PMID29116373
PMCPMC5906570
OpenAlexW2767985017

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.