ArticleScience advances2017
Genomic models predict successful coral adaptation if future ocean warming rates are reduced.
Article in Science advances, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 61 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
61 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Systematic review of the uncertainty of coral reef futures under climate change.Nature communications · 2024Pooled it
- Predictive evolutionary genomics: principles, validation, and practice.The New phytologist · 2026Review
- Conservation should assume realistic adaptive capacities.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Population Genomics Reveals Local Adaptation Related to Temperature Variation in Two Stream Frog Species: Implications for Vulnerability to Climate Warming.Molecular ecology · 2025Article
- Adaptive Potential of Intracolonial Genetic Variability in Coral Populations.Ecology and evolution · 2025Review
- A multi-molecular biomarker assessment of thermal preconditioning in two scleractinian coral species.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Predicting the contribution of single trait evolution to rescuing a plant population from demographic impacts of climate change.Evolution letters · 2025Article
- Biodiversity conservation requires integration of species-centric and process-based strategies.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Future of coral bleaching research.Bioscience · 2025Article
- Landscape transcriptomics as a tool for addressing global change effects across diverse species.Molecular ecology resources · 2025Review
- Conservation Evolutionary Biology: A Unified Framework Connecting the Past, Present, and Future of Biodiversity Conservation.Molecular biology and evolution · 2025Review
- Slight thermal stress exerts genetic diversity selection at coral (Acropora digitifera) larval stages.BMC genomics · 2025Article
- Article
- Increased resilience and a regime shift reversal through repeat mass coral bleaching.Ecology letters · 2024Article
- Intraspecific diversity is critical to population-level risk assessments.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Climate adaptive loci revealed by seascape genomics correlate with phenotypic variation in heat tolerance of the coral Acropora millepora.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Planting long-lived trees in a warming climate: Theory shows the importance of stage-dependent climatic tolerance.Evolutionary applications · 2024Article
- Complex parental effects impact variation in larval thermal tolerance in a vertically transmitting coral.Heredity · 2024Article
- Genomic Data Reveal Diverse Biological Characteristics of Scleractinian Corals and Promote Effective Coral Reef Conservation.Genome biology and evolution · 2024Article
- Local adaptation with gene flow in a highly dispersive shark.Evolutionary applications · 2024Article
1 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Population genomic surveys suggest that climate-associated genetic variation occurs widely across species, but whether it is sufficient to allow population persistence via evolutionary adaptation has seldom been quantified. To ask whether rapid adaptation in reef-building corals can keep pace with future ocean warming, we measured genetic variation at predicted warm-adapted loci and simulated future evolution and persistence in a high-latitude population of corals from Rarotonga, Cook Islands. Alleles associated with thermal tolerance were present but at low frequencies in this cooler, southerly locality. Simulations based on predicted ocean warming in Rarotonga showed rapid evolution of heat tolerance resulting in population persistence under mild warming scenarios consistent with low CO
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