Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29104608›Full record

ArticleComputational and mathematical methods in medicine2017

Modelling Risk to US Military Populations from Stopping Blanket Mandatory Polio Vaccination.

Colleen Burgess, Andrew Burgess, Kellie McMullen

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Computational and mathematical methods in medicine, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.2field-weighted citation impact, top 42% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Colleen BurgessRamboll Environ, Inc., Amherst, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0393-0767
Andrew BurgessMathEcology, LLC, Phoenix, AZ, USA.
Kellie McMullenNaval Health Research Center, San Diego, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3393-1082
Phoenix (United States) · USNaval Health Research Center · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTransmission of polio poses a threat to military forces when deploying to regions where such viruses are endemic. US-born soldiers generally enter service with immunity resulting from childhood immunization against polio; moreover, new recruits are routinely vaccinated with inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV), supplemented based upon deployment circumstances. Given residual protection from childhood vaccination, risk-based vaccination may sufficiently protect troops from polio transmission.

methodsThis analysis employed a mathematical system for polio transmission within military populations interacting with locals in a polio-endemic region to evaluate changes in vaccination policy.

resultsRemoval of blanket immunization had no effect on simulated polio incidence among deployed military populations when risk-based immunization was employed; however, when these individuals reintegrated with their base populations, risk of transmission to nondeployed personnel increased by 19%. In the absence of both blanket- and risk-based immunization, transmission to nondeployed populations increased by 25%. The overall number of new infections among nondeployed populations was negligible for both scenarios due to high childhood immunization rates, partial protection against transmission conferred by IPV, and low global disease incidence levels.

conclusionRisk-based immunization driven by deployment to polio-endemic regions is sufficient to prevent transmission among both deployed and nondeployed US military populations.

Indexed as

Immunization ProgramsMilitary PersonnelComputational BiologyComputer SimulationHumansIncidenceMathematical ConceptsModels, BiologicalPoliomyelitisPoliovirus Vaccine, InactivatedRisk FactorsUnited StatesPoliovirus Vaccine, Inactivated

Identifiers

PMID29104608
PMCPMC5618742
OpenAlexW2754127978

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.