Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29075009›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2017

A data-driven statistical model that estimates measurement uncertainty improves interpretation of ADC reproducibility: a multi-site study of liver metastases.

Ryan Pathak, Hossein Ragheb, Neil A Thacker, David M Morris, Houshang Amiri, Joost Kuijer, Nandita M deSouza, Arend Heerschap, Alan Jackson

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Ryan PathakUniversity of Manchester, Wolfson Molecular Imaging Centre, Manchester, UK. ryan.pathak@manchester.ac.uk.
Hossein RaghebUniversity of Manchester, Wolfson Molecular Imaging Centre, Manchester, UK.
Neil A ThackerUniversity of Manchester, Wolfson Molecular Imaging Centre, Manchester, UK.
David M MorrisUniversity of Manchester, Wolfson Molecular Imaging Centre, Manchester, UK.
Houshang AmiriRadboudumc, Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Nijmegen, Gelderland, NL, Netherlands.
Joost KuijerVU University Medical Center, Physics & Medical Technology, PO Box 7057, Amsterdam, NL, 1007MB, Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-4181-0427
Nandita M deSouzaInstitute of Cancer Research, MRI Unit, Downs Road, Sutton, Surrey, SM2 5PT, UK.
Arend HeerschapRadboudumc, Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Nijmegen, Gelderland, NL, Netherlands.
Alan JacksonUniversity of Manchester, Wolfson Molecular Imaging Centre, Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1623-0383

Funding

Cancer Research UK 18097
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Apparent Diffusion Coefficient (ADC) is a potential quantitative imaging biomarker for tumour cell density and is widely used to detect early treatment changes in cancer therapy. We propose a strategy to improve confidence in the interpretation of measured changes in ADC using a data-driven model that describes sources of measurement error. Observed ADC is then standardised against this estimation of uncertainty for any given measurement. 20 patients were recruited prospectively and equitably across 4 sites, and scanned twice (test-retest) within 7 days. Repeatability measurements of defined regions (ROIs) of tumour and normal tissue were quantified as percentage change in mean ADC (test vs. re-test) and then standardised against an estimation of uncertainty. Multi-site reproducibility, (quantified as width of the 95% confidence bound between the lower confidence interval and higher confidence interval for all repeatability measurements), was compared before and after standardisation to the model. The 95% confidence interval width used to determine a statistically significant change reduced from 21.1 to 2.7% after standardisation. Small tumour volumes and respiratory motion were found to be important contributors to poor reproducibility. A look up chart has been provided for investigators who would like to estimate uncertainty from statistical error on individual ADC measurements.

Indexed as

AdultAgedCarcinomaColorectal NeoplasmsDiffusion Magnetic Resonance ImagingFemaleHumansImage Interpretation, Computer-AssistedImaging, Three-DimensionalLiverLiver NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalMovementProof of Concept Study

Identifiers

PMID29075009
PMCPMC5658431

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.