Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29073901›Full record

ReviewMalaria journal2017

Statistical methods to derive efficacy estimates of anti-malarials for uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum malaria: pitfalls and challenges.

Prabin Dahal, Julie A Simpson, Grant Dorsey, Philippe J Guérin, Ric N Price, Kasia Stepniewska

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Malaria journal, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Prabin DahalWorldWide Antimalarial Resistance Network (WWARN), Oxford, UK. prabin.dahal@wwarn.org.
Julie A SimpsonCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Grant DorseyDepartment of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Philippe J GuérinWorldWide Antimalarial Resistance Network (WWARN), Oxford, UK.
Ric N PriceWorldWide Antimalarial Resistance Network (WWARN), Oxford, UK.
Kasia StepniewskaWorldWide Antimalarial Resistance Network (WWARN), Oxford, UK.

Funding

Wellcome Trust 200909/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Kaplan-Meier (K-M) method is currently the preferred approach to derive an efficacy estimate from anti-malarial trial data. In this approach event times are assumed to be continuous and estimates are generated on the assumption that there is only one cause of failure. In reality, failures are captured at pre-scheduled time points and patients can fail treatment due to a variety of causes other than the primary endpoint, commonly termed competing risk events. Ignoring these underlying assumptions can potentially distort the derived efficacy estimates and result in misleading conclusions. This review details the evolution of statistical methods used to derive anti-malarial efficacy for uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum malaria and assesses the limitations of the current practices. Alternative approaches are explored and their implementation is discussed using example data from a large multi-site study.

Indexed as

AntimalarialsClinical Trials as TopicData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateMalaria, FalciparumTreatment FailureAntimalarialsComparative studiesCompeting risksCumulative incidence functionKaplan–MeierPlasmodium falciparum

Identifiers

PMID29073901
PMCPMC5658934

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.