Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29067783›Full record

ArticleInfluenza and other respiratory viruses2017

Both hemispheric influenza vaccine recommendations would have missed near half of the circulating viruses in Madagascar.

Julia Guillebaud, Jean-Michel Héraud, Norosoa H Razanajatovo, Alicia A Livinski, Wladimir J Alonso

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
0.3field-weighted citation impact, top 35% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Julia GuillebaudNational Influenza Centre, Virology Unit, Institut Pasteur de Madagascar, Antananarivo, Madagascar.
Jean-Michel HéraudNational Influenza Centre, Virology Unit, Institut Pasteur de Madagascar, Antananarivo, Madagascar.ORCID 0000-0003-1107-0859
Norosoa H RazanajatovoNational Influenza Centre, Virology Unit, Institut Pasteur de Madagascar, Antananarivo, Madagascar.
Alicia A LivinskiNational Institutes of Health Library, Office of Research Services, Office of Management, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Wladimir J AlonsoLaboratory for Human Evolutionary and Ecological Studies, Institute of Biosciences, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-7038-0801
Institut Pasteur de Madagascar · MGNational Institutes of Health · USUniversidade de São Paulo · BR

Funding

PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE TO AVIAN AND PANDEMIC INFLUENZA IN MADAGASCARU51IP000327 · IP · PASTEUR INSTITUTE FROM MADAGASCAR · PI HERAUD, JEAN-MICHEL · 2009 to 2012
$1.6M
Sustaining Surveillance Networks and Response to Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza U51IP000812 · IP · PASTEUR INSTITUTE FROM MADAGASCAR · PI HERAUD, JEAN-MICHEL · 2013 to 2015
$1.5M
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInfluenza immunization still poses a critical challenge globally and specifically for tropical regions due to their complex influenza circulation pattern. Tropical regions should select the WHO's Northern Hemisphere or Southern Hemisphere recommended vaccine composition based on local surveillance. Analyses of influenza immunization effectiveness have neglected to account for the proportion of circulating viruses prevented from causing infection each year. We investigate this question for Madagascar, where influenza vaccines are not widely available.

methodsSeventy-eight Malagasy influenza strains characterized from 2002 to 2014 were challenged with hypothetical scenarios in which the WHO's Northern Hemisphere and Southern Hemisphere recommended vaccine compositions were provided to the population. Match between circulating and vaccine strains was determined by haemagglutination inhibition assays. Strain-specific positive matches were scored assuming 9 months of protection, and scenarios incorporated vaccine delays from zero to 5 months.

resultsMalagasy influenza strains matched 54% and 44%, respectively, with the Northern Hemisphere and Southern Hemisphere recommended vaccine strains when the vaccine was delivered as soon as available. The matching values further decreased when additional delivery and application delays were considered. Differences between recommended compositions were not statistically significant.

conclusionOur results showed matching with the Northern Hemisphere vaccine barely above 50%, even in the more favourable scenario. This suggests that if implemented, routine influenza vaccines would not provide an optimal protection against half of the influenza strains circulating in any epidemic season of Madagascar. We suggest that this limitation in influenza vaccine efficacy deserves greater attention, and should be considered in cost/benefit analyses of national influenza immunization programmes.

Indexed as

Health Planning GuidelinesVaccinationHemagglutination Inhibition TestsHumansImmunization ProgramsInfluenza A virusInfluenza, HumanInfluenza VaccinesMadagascarSeasonsWorld Health OrganizationInfluenza VaccinesinfluenzaMadagascarmatchseasonalitytimingvaccination

Identifiers

PMID29067783
PMCPMC5705694
OpenAlexW2765853396

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.