Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29061570›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2017

Future trends in the prevalence of severe activity limitations among older adults in Europe: a cross-national population study using EU-SILC.

Sergei Scherbov, Daniela Weber

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Sergei ScherbovWittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
Daniela WeberWittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo project the proportion of population 65+ years with severe long-term activity limitations from 2017 to 2047.

designLarge population study.

settingPopulation living in private households of the European Union (EU) and neighbouring countries.

participantsParticipants from the EU Statistics on Income and Living Conditions aged 55 years and older and living in one of 26 EU and neighbouring countries, who answered the health section of the questionnaire. OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence of severe long-term activity limitations of particular subpopulations (ie, 55+, 65+, 75+ and 85+ years) by sex and country.

resultsWe find a huge variation in the prevalence of self-reported severe long-term limitations across Europe for both sexes. However, in 2017, about 20% of the female population aged 65 years and above and about 16% of their male counterparts are expected to report severe long-term activity limitations after accounting for differences in reporting. Accounting for cultural differences in reporting, we expect that European countries will have about 21% (decile 1: 19.5%; decile 9: 22.9%) of female and about 16.8% (decile 1: 15.4%; decile 9: 18.1%) of male 65+ years population with severe long-term activity limitations by 2047.

conclusionsOverall, despite the expected increase of life expectancy in European countries, our results suggest almost constant shares of older adults with severe long-term activity limitations within the next 30 years.

Indexed as

Activities of Daily LivingHealth StatusAdolescentAgedAged, 80 and overCross-Sectional StudiesEuropeEuropean UnionFemaleForecastingHealthHumansLife ExpectancyMaleMiddle AgedPersons with Disabilitiesactivity limitationsageingdisabilityeuropeEu-silchealth expectancy

Identifiers

PMID29061570
PMCPMC5722100

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.