SynthesisCirculation2017
Thyroid Function Within the Normal Range, Subclinical Hypothyroidism, and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation.
Synthesis in Circulation, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 135 papers, 16 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
135 citing papers in PubMed, 16 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 242 citations in OpenAlex.
- Thyroid function post-bariatric surgery: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis.Obesity surgery · 2025Pooled it
- Efficacy of Xiaoyao-san preparations in treating Hashimoto's thyroiditis: a meta-analysis and systematic review.Frontiers in pharmacology · 2025Pooled it
- The association between the triglyceride-glucose index and vitamin D status: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC endocrine disorders · 2024Pooled it
- Multi-trait analysis characterizes the genetics of thyroid function and identifies causal associations with clinical implications.Nature communications · 2024Pooled it
- Subclinical thyroid dysfunction and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation: A systematic review and meta-analysis.PloS one · 2024Pooled it
- The optimal healthy ranges of thyroid function defined by the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality: systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis.The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology · 2023Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Epigenome-Wide Association Study of Thyroid Function Traits Identifies Novel Associations of fT3 With KLF9 and DOT1L.The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism · 2021Pooled it
- Clinical Parameters Are More Likely to Be Associated with Thyroid Hormone Levels than with Thyrotropin Levels: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Thyroid : official journal of the American Thyroid Association · 2020Pooled it
- Environmental factors, serum biomarkers and risk of atrial fibrillation: an exposure-wide umbrella review of meta-analyses.European journal of epidemiology · 2020Pooled it
- Thyroid Function and Dysfunction in Relation to 16 Cardiovascular Diseases.Circulation. Genomic and precision medicine · 2019Pooled it
- The Impact of Obesity on Thyroid Autoimmunity and Dysfunction: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Frontiers in immunology · 2019Pooled it
- Hypothyroidism and Adverse Endpoints in Diabetic Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2019Pooled it
- Genome-wide analyses identify a role for SLC17A4 and AADAT in thyroid hormone regulation.Nature communications · 2018Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Prospective Study of Risk Factors for Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery.The Journal of surgical research · 2024Trial
- Effect of Thyroid Hormone Therapy on Fatigability in Older Adults With Subclinical Hypothyroidism: A Nested Study Within a Randomized Placebo-Controlled Trial.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2020Trial
- Association between annual air pollutant exposure and thyroid function: a retrospective cross-sectional study.Journal of endocrinological investigation · 2026Article
- Screening for atrial fibrillation according to serum thyroid-stimulating hormone: an opportunity for refinement?Annals of translational medicine · 2026Article
75 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
27 authors at 18 institutions in 11 countries.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) is a highly prevalent disorder leading to heart failure, stroke, and death. Enhanced understanding of modifiable risk factors may yield opportunities for prevention. The risk of AF is increased in subclinical hyperthyroidism, but it is uncertain whether variations in thyroid function within the normal range or subclinical hypothyroidism are also associated with AF.
methodsWe conducted a systematic review and obtained individual participant data from prospective cohort studies that measured thyroid function at baseline and assessed incident AF. Studies were identified from MEDLINE and EMBASE databases from inception to July 27, 2016. The euthyroid state was defined as thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) 0.45 to 4.49 mIU/L, and subclinical hypothyroidism as TSH 4.5 to 19.9 mIU/L with free thyroxine (fT4) levels within reference range. The association of TSH levels in the euthyroid and subclinical hypothyroid range with incident AF was examined by using Cox proportional hazards models. In euthyroid participants, we additionally examined the association between fT4 levels and incident AF.
resultsOf 30 085 participants from 11 cohorts (278 955 person-years of follow-up), 1958 (6.5%) had subclinical hypothyroidism and 2574 individuals (8.6%) developed AF during follow-up. TSH at baseline was not significantly associated with incident AF in euthyroid participants or those with subclinical hypothyroidism. Higher fT4 levels at baseline in euthyroid individuals were associated with increased AF risk in age- and sex-adjusted analyses (hazard ratio, 1.45; 95% confidence interval, 1.26-1.66, for the highest quartile versus the lowest quartile of fT4;
conclusionsIn euthyroid individuals, higher circulating fT4 levels, but not TSH levels, are associated with increased risk of incident AF.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.