ArticleScientific reports2017
Resilience and regime shifts in a marine biodiversity hotspot.
Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- Stress and resilience in northern European marine ecosystems.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Regime shifts and climate responses of alpine grasslands in Gannan Prefecture, China.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Resilience assessment in complex natural systems.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- Expected contraction in the distribution ranges of demersal fish of high economic value in the Mediterranean and European Seas.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Interannual fluctuations in connectivity among crab populations (Liocarcinus depurator) along the Atlantic-Mediterranean transition.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Resilience dynamics and productivity-driven shifts in the marine communities of the Western Mediterranean Sea.The Journal of animal ecology · 2022Article
- Evidence of climate-driven regime shifts in the Aegean Sea's demersal resources: A study spanning six decades.Ecology and evolution · 2021Article
- Article
- Introduction: Autochthonous human adaptation to biodiversity change in the Anthropocene.Ambio · 2019Article
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Complex natural systems, spanning from individuals and populations to ecosystems and social-ecological systems, often exhibit abrupt reorganizations in response to changing stressors, known as regime shifts or critical transitions. Theory suggests that such systems feature folded stability landscapes with fluctuating resilience, fold-bifurcations, and alternate basins of attraction. However, the implementation of such features to elucidate response mechanisms in an empirical context is scarce, due to the lack of generic approaches to quantify resilience dynamics in individual natural systems. Here, we introduce an Integrated Resilience Assessment (IRA) framework: a three-step analytical process to assess resilience and construct stability landscapes of empirical systems. The proposed framework involves a multivariate analysis to estimate holistic system indicator variables, non-additive modelling to estimate alternate attractors, and a quantitative resilience assessment to scale stability landscapes. We implement this framework to investigate the temporal development of the Mediterranean marine communities in response to sea warming during 1985-2013, using fisheries landings data. Our analysis revealed a nonlinear tropicalisation of the Mediterranean Sea, expressed as abrupt shifts to regimes dominated by thermophilic species. The approach exemplified here for the Mediterranean Sea, revealing previously unknown resilience dynamics driven by climate forcing, can elucidate resilience and shifts in other complex systems.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.