Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29045390›Full record

ArticleNature2017

The dynamics of molecular evolution over 60,000 generations.

Benjamin H Good, Michael J McDonald, Jeffrey E Barrick, Richard E Lenski, Michael M Desai

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 363 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
363citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

363 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. ACS synthetic biology · 2021
    Pooled it
  3. ISEmerging microbes & infections · 2026
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Genomic and phenotypic diversification ofMicrobiology spectrum · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Direct estimation of genotype fitness from time series.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Module-Selection Balance in the Evolution of Modular Organisms.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article

303 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Benjamin H GoodDepartment of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, USA.
Michael J McDonaldDepartment of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, USA.
Jeffrey E BarrickDepartment of Molecular Biosciences, The University of Texas, Austin, Texas 78712, USA.
Richard E LenskiBEACON Center for the Study of Evolution in Action, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan 48824, USA.
Michael M DesaiDepartment of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, USA.

Funding

Microbial Adaptation and the Statistics of Epistasis and PleiotropyR01GM104239 · NIGMS · HARVARD UNIVERSITY · PI DESAI, MICHAEL M · 2013 to 2025
$4.5M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM104239
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The outcomes of evolution are determined by a stochastic dynamical process that governs how mutations arise and spread through a population. However, it is difficult to observe these dynamics directly over long periods and across entire genomes. Here we analyse the dynamics of molecular evolution in twelve experimental populations of Escherichia coli, using whole-genome metagenomic sequencing at five hundred-generation intervals through sixty thousand generations. Although the rate of fitness gain declines over time, molecular evolution is characterized by signatures of rapid adaptation throughout the duration of the experiment, with multiple beneficial variants simultaneously competing for dominance in each population. Interactions between ecological and evolutionary processes play an important role, as long-term quasi-stable coexistence arises spontaneously in most populations, and evolution continues within each clade. We also present evidence that the targets of natural selection change over time, as epistasis and historical contingency alter the strength of selection on different genes. Together, these results show that long-term adaptation to a constant environment can be a more complex and dynamic process than is often assumed.

Indexed as

Evolution, MolecularDNA Mutational AnalysisEpistasis, GeneticEscherichia coliFossilsGene FrequencyGenetic FitnessGenome, BacterialMetagenomicsMutation RateSelection, Genetic

Identifiers

PMID29045390
PMCPMC5788700

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.