Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29045283›Full record

Trial reportEpidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)2018

Timing of Initiation of Antiretroviral Therapy and Risk of Preterm Birth in Studies of HIV-infected Pregnant Women: The Role of Selection Bias.

Marie C D Stoner, Stephen R Cole, Joan Price, Jennifer Winston, Jeffrey S A Stringer

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Preterm Birth in Women With HIV: The Role of the Placenta.Frontiers in global women's health · 2022
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Methodological Considerations for Preterm Birth Research.Frontiers in global women's health · 2021
    Article
  9. HIV serostatus, viral load, and midtrimester cervical length in a Zambian prenatal cohort.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2019
    Article
  10. Quantifying bias between reported last menstrual period and ultrasonography estimates of gestational age in Lusaka, Zambia.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2019
    Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Marie C D StonerFrom the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC.
Stephen R Cole
Joan Price
Jennifer Winston
Jeffrey S A Stringer

Funding

Virology, Immunology, and Microbiology CoreP30AI050410 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI DAVID M. MARGOLIS · 2001 to 2026
$76.9M
Training in Sexually Transmitted Infections and HIVT32AI007001 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI SENA-SOBERANO, ARLENE C. · 1985 to 2025
$10.9M
Research Services CoreP2CHD050924 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI KAREN B GUZZO · 2015 to 2026
$9.6M
A Career Development Award in HIV-Associated Preterm Birth and its PreventionK01TW010857 · FIC · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI PRICE, JOAN · 2017 to 2021
$682k
FIC NIH HHS K01 TW010857NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI050410NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI007001NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD050924
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWomen who initiate antiretroviral therapy (ART) during pregnancy are reported to have lower risk of preterm birth compared with those who enter pregnancy care already receiving ART. We hypothesize this association can be largely attributed to selection bias.

methodsWe simulated a cohort of 1000 preconceptional, HIV-infected women, where half were randomly allocated to receive immediate ART and half to delay ART until their presentation for pregnancy care. Gestational age at delivery was drawn from population data unrelated to randomization group (i.e., the true effect of delayed ART was null). Outcomes of interest were preterm birth (<37 weeks), very preterm birth (<32 weeks), and extreme preterm birth (<28 weeks). We analyzed outcomes in 2 ways: (1) a prospectively enrolled clinical trial, where all women were considered (the intent-to-treat (ITT) analysis); and (2) an observational study, where women who deliver before initiating ART were excluded (the naïve analysis). We explored the impact of later ART initiation and gestational age measurement error on our findings.

resultsPreconception ART initiation was not associated with preterm birth in ITT analyses. Risk ratios (RRs) for the effect of preconception ART initiation were RR = 1.10 (preterm), RR = 1.41 (very preterm), and RR = 5.01 (extreme preterm) in naïve analyses. Selection bias increased in the naïve analysis with advancing gestational age at ART initiation and with introduction of gestational age measurement error.

conclusionsAnalyses of preterm birth that compare a preconception exposure to one that occurs in pregnancy are at risk of selection bias. See video abstract at, http://links.lww.com/EDE/B313.

Indexed as

Selection BiasAnti-HIV AgentsFemaleHIV SeropositivityHumansPregnancyPremature BirthAnti-HIV Agents

Identifiers

PMID29045283
PMCPMC5792303

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.