ArticleScientific reports2017
Modeling the climatic suitability of leishmaniasis vector species in Europe.
Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 73 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
73 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Visceral Leishmaniasis in Sub-Himalayan India (1967-2023): A Systematic Review.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2024Pooled it
- Diagnosis of visceral and cutaneous leishmaniasis using loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) protocols: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Parasites & vectors · 2022Pooled it
- Leishmania infantum infection in Phlebotomus perniciosus and Phlebotomus perfiliewi (Diptera, Psychodidae) and their abundance in central Italy.Parasites & vectors · 2026Article
- Imported Visceral Leishmaniasis in Timiș County, Western Romania.Microorganisms · 2026Article
- Patterns and drivers of the distribution of Leishmania infection in humans using environmental and socioeconomic factors: a modeling study in mainland Portugal.Parasites & vectors · 2026Article
- Review
- Article
- Leishmaniasis Transmission Risk at the Forest-Peridomestic Interface in an Area of Southern Sinaloa, Mexico: Entomological, Molecular, and Climatic Evidence.Journal of parasitology research · 2026Article
- Vector-Borne Infections in Romania: From Surveillance to Prediction.Microorganisms · 2025Review
- Assessment of the monthly risk of dirofilariosis infection in Europe and its projection to 2100 under climate change from a One Health perspective.Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- Leishmaniasis.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2025Review
- Molecular profiling and risk factors assessment of cutaneous leishmaniasis in an expanding endemic focus of Punjab, Pakistan.Parasitology research · 2025Article
- The Effect of Climate Change on Emergence and Evolution of Zoonotic Diseases in Asia.Zoonoses and public health · 2025Review
- Hidden in plain sight: discovery of sand flies in Singapore and description of four species new to science.Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- Predicting the ecological niches ofFrontiers in tropical diseases · 2025Article
- Seasonal trends of sand fly abundance andOne health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2025Article
- Visceral Leishmaniasis in a 25-Year-Old Female Kidney Transplant Recipient from a Non-Endemic Region: A Case Report from Romania.Microorganisms · 2025Article
- Analysis of the Current Risk ofTransboundary and emerging diseases · 2025Article
- Cutaneous leishmaniasis: epidemiology, treatment access and translational challenges of topical therapies.Frontiers in microbiology · 2025Review
- Understanding and predicting the geographic distributions of phlebotomine sand flies in and around Europe.Climatic change · 2025Article
13 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Climate change will affect the geographical distribution of many species in the future. Phlebotomine sandflies are vector species for leishmaniasis, a tropical neglected disease. We applied an ensemble forecasting niche modeling approach to project future changes in climatic suitability for ten vector competent sandfly species in Europe. Whereas the main area of sandfly distribution currently lies in the Mediterranean region, models generally projected a northwards expansion of areas with suitable climatic conditions for most species (P. alexandri, P. neglectus, P. papatasi, P. perfiliewi, P. tobbi) in the future. The range of distribution for only two species (P. ariasi, P. mascittii) was projected to decline in the future. According to our results, a higher number of vector competent species in Central Europe can generally be expected, assuming no limitations to dispersal. We recommend monitoring for the establishment of vector species, especially in areas with projected climatic suitability for multiple vector species, as a precautious strategy. An increased number of vector species, or a higher abundance of a single species, might result in a higher transmission risk of leishmaniasis, provided that the pathogens follow the projected range shifts.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.