ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2017
Schistosoma japonicum transmission risk maps at present and under climate change in mainland China.
Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
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18 citing papers in PubMed, 46 citations in OpenAlex.
- Article
- Climate change, malaria and neglected tropical diseases: a scoping review.Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene · 2024Article
- Prediction of Oncomelania hupensis distribution in association with climate change using machine learning models.Parasites & vectors · 2023Article
- Three Gorges Dam: Potential differential drivers and trend in the spatio-temporal evolution of the change in snail density based on a Bayesian spatial-temporal model and 5-year longitudinal study.Parasites & vectors · 2023Article
- Impact of precipitation on the prevalence of schistosomiasis mekongi in Lao PDR: Structural equation modelling using Earth observation satellite data.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2023Article
- Transmission Risk Predicting for Schistosomiasis in Mainland China by Exploring Ensemble Ecological Niche Modeling.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2022Article
- Climate Change and Cascading Risks from Infectious Disease.Infectious diseases and therapy · 2022Review
- Development of New Technologies for Risk Identification of Schistosomiasis Transmission in China.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Review
- Risk prediction of two types of potential snail habitats in Anhui Province of China: Model-based approaches.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2020Article
- Spatiotemporal pattern analysis of schistosomiasis based on village level in the transmission control stage in lake and marshland areas in China.Parasitology · 2020Article
- Temporal transcriptome change ofCell & bioscience · 2020Article
- Brain diseases in changing climate.Environmental research · 2019Review
- Change patterns of oncomelanid snail burden in areas within the Yangtze River drainage after the three gorges dam operated.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2019Article
- Asian Schistosomiasis: Current Status and Prospects for Control Leading to Elimination.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2019Review
- Field Evaluation of a Loop-Mediated Isothermal Amplification (LAMP) Platform for the Detection ofTropical medicine and infectious disease · 2018Article
- Potential Impact of Climate Change on Schistosomiasis: A Global Assessment Attempt.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2018Article
- rSjP40 suppresses hepatic stellate cell activation by promoting microRNA-155 expression and inhibiting STAT5 and FOXO3a expression.Journal of cellular and molecular medicine · 2018Article
- Climate Change and the Neglected Tropical Diseases.Advances in parasitology · 2018Review
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Authors and funding
3 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThe South-to-North Water Diversion (SNWD) project is designed to channel fresh water from the Yangtze River north to more industrialized parts of China. An important question is whether future climate change and dispersal via the SNWD may synergistically favor a northward expansion of species involved in hosting and transmitting schistosomiasis in China, specifically the intermediate host, Oncomelania hupensis. METHODOLOGY/ PRINCIPAL
findingsIn this study, climate spaces occupied by the four subspecies of O. hupensis (O. h. hupensis, O. h. robertsoni, O. h. guangxiensis and O. h. tangi) were estimated, and niche conservatism tested among each pair of subspecies. Fine-tuned Maxent (fMaxent) and ensemble models were used to anticipate potential distributions of O. hupensis under future climate change scenarios. We were largely unable to reject the null hypothesis that climatic niches are conserved among the four subspecies, so factors other than climate appear to account for the divergence of O. hupensis populations across mainland China. Both model approaches indicated increased suitability and range expansion in O. h. hupensis in the future; an eastward and northward shift in O. h. robertsioni and O. h. guangxiensis, respectively; and relative distributional stability in O. h. gangi. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: The southern parts of the Central Route of SNWD will coincide with suitable areas for O. h. hupensis in 2050-2060; its suitable areas will also expand northward along the southern parts of the Eastern Route by 2080-2090. Our results call for rigorous monitoring and surveillance of schistosomiasis along the southern Central Route and Eastern Route of the SNWD in a future, warmer China.
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