ArticleJournal of medical entomology2017
Modeling the Environmental Suitability for Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti and Aedes (Stegomyia) albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae) in the Contiguous United States.
Article in Journal of medical entomology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 54 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
54 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Trends in mosquito species distribution modeling: insights for vector surveillance and disease control.Parasites & vectors · 2023Pooled it
- Effects of desiccation stress on adult female longevity in Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae): results of a systematic review and pooled survival analysis.Parasites & vectors · 2018Pooled it
- Projected distributions of 18 mosquito species in the Republic of Korea under climate change scenarios.Parasites & vectors · 2026Article
- Increase in Travel-Associated and Locally Acquired Dengue Cases - United States, 2024.MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report · 2026Article
- Continued range expansion of Aedes albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae) in Iowa, United States.Journal of medical entomology · 2026Article
- Effect of landscape heterogeneity on mosquito abundance and sugar feeding behavior.Journal of medical entomology · 2026Article
- Field validation of multiple species distribution models shows variation in performance for predicting Aedes albopictus distributions at the invasion edge.Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- The expansion of the yellow fever mosquito (Aedes aegypti) and evidence of its establishment in the Las Vegas metropolitan area, Nevada, United States of America.Journal of medical entomology · 2025Article
- Predicting the ecological niches ofFrontiers in tropical diseases · 2025Article
- Incidence, Duration, and Risk Factors for Diagnostic Delays Associated with Dengue: A Population-Based Study.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2025Article
- Ecological Niche and Potential Geographic Distribution of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus in Northeast Argentina.EcoHealth · 2025Article
- Forecasting high-risk areas for dengue outbreaks in China: A trend analysis of Aedes albopictus and Aedes aegypti distributions from 2014 to 2030.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- Review
- Dengue's climate conundrum: how vegetation and temperature shape mosquito populations and disease outbreaks.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Article
- Increased thermal suitability elevates the risk of dengue transmission across the mid hills of Nepal.PloS one · 2025Article
- Local environmental factors drive distributions of ecologically-contrasting mosquito species (Diptera: Culicidae).Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Geographic expansion of the introduced Aedes albopictus and other native Aedes species in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.Parasites & vectors · 2024Article
- Travel-Associated Dengue Cases - United States, 2010-2021.MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report · 2023Article
- Predicting current and future high-risk areas for vectors and reservoirs of cutaneous leishmaniasis in Iran.Scientific reports · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The mosquitoes Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti (L.)(Diptera:Culicidae) and Ae. (Stegomyia) albopictus (Skuse) (Diptera:Culicidae) transmit dengue, chikungunya, and Zika viruses and represent a growing public health threat in parts of the United States where they are established. To complement existing mosquito presence records based on discontinuous, non-systematic surveillance efforts, we developed county-scale environmental suitability maps for both species using maximum entropy modeling to fit climatic variables to county presence records from 1960-2016 in the contiguous United States. The predictive models for Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus had an overall accuracy of 0.84 and 0.85, respectively. Cumulative growing degree days (GDDs) during the winter months, an indicator of overall warmth, was the most important predictive variable for both species and was positively associated with environmental suitability. The number (percentage) of counties classified as environmentally suitable, based on models with 90 or 99% sensitivity, ranged from 1,443 (46%) to 2,209 (71%) for Ae. aegypti and from 1,726 (55%) to 2,329 (75%) for Ae. albopictus. Increasing model sensitivity results in more counties classified as suitable, at least for summer survival, from which there are no mosquito records. We anticipate that Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus will be found more commonly in counties classified as suitable based on the lower 90% sensitivity threshold compared with the higher 99% threshold. Counties predicted suitable with 90% sensitivity should therefore be a top priority for expanded mosquito surveillance efforts while still keeping in mind that Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus may be introduced, via accidental transport of eggs or immatures, and potentially proliferate during the warmest part of the year anywhere within the geographic areas delineated by the 99% sensitivity model.
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