Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29023828›Full record

ArticleHepatology (Baltimore, Md.)2018

Impact of surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma on survival in patients with compensated cirrhosis.

Ju Dong Yang, Ajitha Mannalithara, Andrew J Piscitello, John B Kisiel, Gregory J Gores, Lewis R Roberts, W Ray Kim

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance Patterns and Outcomes in Patients With Cirrhosis.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2024
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
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  13. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ju Dong YangDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Rochester, MN.
Ajitha MannalitharaDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA.
Andrew J PiscitelloEmpiriQA LLC, Long Grove, IL.
John B KisielDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Rochester, MN.
Gregory J GoresDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Rochester, MN.
Lewis R RobertsDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Rochester, MN.ORCID 0000-0001-7885-8574
W Ray KimDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA.

Funding

MULTIDISCRIPLINARY TRAINING IN DIGESTIVE DISEASEST32DK007198 · NIDDK · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI Harmeet Malhi · 1986 to 2026
$8.9M
Models for Optimal Liver Transplant OutcomesR01DK034238 · NIDDK · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI KIM, W. RAY · 1986 to 2015
$7.5M
Patient-oriented and effectiveness research in chronic liver diseaseK24DK092336 · NIDDK · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI KIM, W. RAY · 2012 to 2016
$627k
NIDDK NIH HHS K24 DK092336NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK034238NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK007198
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been recommended in patients with cirrhosis. In this study, we examined the extent to which the competing risk of hepatic decompensation influences the benefit of HCC surveillance by investigating the impact of availability of liver transplantation (LTx) and the rate of progression of hepatic decompensation on survival gain from HCC surveillance. A multistate Markov model was constructed simulating a cohort of 50-year-old patients with compensated cirrhosis. The primary outcome of interest was all-cause and HCC-specific mortality. The main input data included incidence of HCC, sensitivity of screening test, and mortality from hepatic decompensation. Treatment modalities modeled included LTx, resection, and radiofrequency ablation. In the base case scenario, LTx would be available to prevent death in a certain proportion of patients. In the absence of surveillance, 68.2% of the cohort members died within 15 years; of these decedents, 25.1% died from HCC and 43.6% died from hepatic decompensation. With surveillance, the median survival improved from 10.4 years to 11.2 years. The number of subjects under surveillance needed to reduce one all-cause and one HCC-specific death over 15 years was 28 and 18, respectively. In sensitivity analyses, incidence of HCC and progression of cirrhosis had the strongest effect on the benefit of surveillance, whereas LTx availability had a negligible effect.

conclusionHCC surveillance decreases all-cause and tumor-specific mortality in patients with compensated cirrhosis regardless of LTx availability. In addition, incidence of HCC and sensitivity of surveillance test also had a substantial impact on the benefits of surveillance. (Hepatology 2018;68:78-88).

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalPopulation SurveillanceCarcinoma, HepatocellularHumansLiver CirrhosisLiver NeoplasmsLiver TransplantationMarkov ChainsMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID29023828
PMCPMC5897179

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.