Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29021180›Full record

ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2017

Bluetongue virus spread in Europe is a consequence of climatic, landscape and vertebrate host factors as revealed by phylogeographic inference.

Maude Jacquot, Kyriaki Nomikou, Massimo Palmarini, Peter Mertens, Roman Biek

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed
14.4field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed, 71 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
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  6. Review
  7. Comparative performance of viral landscape phylogeography approaches.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
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  10. Review
  11. Article
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  14. VectorNet: collaborative mapping of arthropod disease vectors in Europe and surrounding areas since 2010.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2023
    Article
  15. Phylogeographic reconstruction of the emergence and spread of Powassan virus in the northeastern United States.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
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  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Maude JacquotCollege of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, Boyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK maude.jacquot@glasgow.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5945-4689
Kyriaki NomikouThe Pirbright Institute, Pirbright, Woking, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7013-1853
Massimo PalmariniMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, UK.
Peter MertensThe Pirbright Institute, Pirbright, Woking, UK.
Roman BiekCollege of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, Boyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK roman.biek@glasgow.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3471-5357
MRC University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research · GBThe Pirbright Institute · GB

Funding

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BBS/E/I/00001144Medical Research Council MC_UU_12014/10Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Spatio-temporal patterns of the spread of infectious diseases are commonly driven by environmental and ecological factors. This is particularly true for vector-borne diseases because vector populations can be strongly affected by host distribution as well as by climatic and landscape variables. Here, we aim to identify environmental drivers for bluetongue virus (BTV), the causative agent of a major vector-borne disease of ruminants that has emerged multiple times in Europe in recent decades. In order to determine the importance of climatic, landscape and host-related factors affecting BTV diffusion across Europe, we fitted different phylogeographic models to a dataset of 113 time-stamped and geo-referenced BTV genomes, representing multiple strains and serotypes. Diffusion models using continuous space revealed that terrestrial habitat below 300 m altitude, wind direction and higher livestock densities were associated with faster BTV movement. Results of discrete phylogeographic analysis involving generalized linear models broadly supported these findings, but varied considerably with the level of spatial partitioning. Contrary to common perception, we found no evidence for average temperature having a positive effect on BTV diffusion, though both methodological and biological reasons could be responsible for this result. Our study provides important insights into the drivers of BTV transmission at the landscape scale that could inform predictive models of viral spread and have implications for designing control strategies.

Indexed as

ClimateEcosystemHost-Pathogen InteractionsRuminantsAnimalsBluetongueBluetongue virusEuropeModels, GeneticPhylogeographybluetongueenvironmental driversphylogeographypredictor testingvector-borne pathogenviral diffusion

Identifiers

PMID29021180
PMCPMC5647287
OpenAlexW2762536208

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.