ArticleThe American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene2017
Using Rainfall and Temperature Data in the Evaluation of National Malaria Control Programs in Africa.
Article in The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers.
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Who cites it
34 citing papers in PubMed.
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- Spatio-temporal ensemble machine learning forecasts of animal leptospirosis in enzootic Indian States using integrated environmental predictors.Veterinary research communications · 2026Article
- Malaria incidence, severity and mortality in children under five in Ghana: evidence from generalised additive models.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Geographic variation in malaria prevalence among children under five in coastal and inland counties of Liberia: analysis of the 2022 Malaria Indicator Survey.Malaria journal · 2026Article
- Geospatial Mapping of Pediatric Febrile Illness in Uganda to Inform Precision Public Health Interventions.Open forum infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Association between climatic conditions and infectious diseases: implications for Central Ethiopia region.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Impact of Control Interventions on Malaria Incidence in the General Population of Mali.Journal of epidemiology and global health · 2025Article
- Where environment and malaria intersect: Exploring the spatio-temporal footprints of Plasmodium falciparum in Tanzania.PloS one · 2025Article
- Waning success: a 2013-2022 spatial and temporal trend analysis of malaria in Ethiopia.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2024Article
- Impact of Climate Variability and Interventions on Malaria Incidence and Forecasting in Burkina Faso.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024Article
- The effects of climatic and non-climatic factors on malaria mortality at different spatial scales in western Kenya, 2008-2019.BMJ global health · 2024Article
- Disentangling the seasonality effects of malaria transmission in the Brazilian Amazon basin.Royal Society open science · 2024Article
- Climate change and health in the Sahel: a systematic review.Royal Society open science · 2024Review
- Climate change and malaria: some recent trends of malaria incidence rates and average annual temperature in selected sub-Saharan African countries from 2000 to 2018.Malaria journal · 2023Article
- El Niño and other climatic drivers of epidemic malaria in Ethiopia: new tools for national health adaptation plans.Malaria journal · 2023Article
- Malaria, climate variability, and interventions: modelling transmission dynamics.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- The relative effect of climate variability on malaria incidence after scale-up of interventions in western Kenya: A time-series analysis of monthly incidence data from 2008 to 2019.Parasite epidemiology and control · 2023Article
- Spatiotemporal dynamics of malaria in Zanzibar, 2015-2020.BMJ global health · 2023Article
- Global warming and mosquito-borne diseases in Africa: a narrative review.The Pan African medical journal · 2023Review
- Climate variability, socio-economic conditions and vulnerability to malaria infections in Mozambique 2016-2018: a spatial temporal analysis.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Since 2010, the Roll Back Malaria (RBM) Partnership, including National Malaria Control Programs, donor agencies (e.g., President's Malaria Initiative and Global Fund), and other stakeholders have been evaluating the impact of scaling up malaria control interventions on all-cause under-five mortality in several countries in sub-Saharan Africa. The evaluation framework assesses whether the deployed interventions have had an impact on malaria morbidity and mortality and requires consideration of potential nonintervention influencers of transmission, such as drought/floods or higher temperatures. Herein, we assess the likely effect of climate on the assessment of the impact malaria interventions in 10 priority countries/regions in eastern, western, and southern Africa for the President's Malaria Initiative. We used newly available quality controlled Enhanced National Climate Services rainfall and temperature products as well as global climate products to investigate likely impacts of climate on malaria evaluations and test the assumption that changing the baseline period can significantly impact on the influence of climate in the assessment of interventions. Based on current baseline periods used in national malaria impact assessments, we identify three countries/regions where current evaluations may overestimate the impact of interventions (Tanzania, Zanzibar, Uganda) and three countries where current malaria evaluations may underestimate the impact of interventions (Mali, Senegal and Ethiopia). In four countries (Rwanda, Malawi, Mozambique, and Angola) there was no strong difference in climate suitability for malaria in the pre- and post-intervention period. In part, this may be due to data quality and analysis issues.
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