Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28964830›Full record

ArticleExperimental gerontology2018

Causal effects of cardiovascular risk factors on onset of major age-related diseases: A time-to-event Mendelian randomization study.

Liang He, Irina Culminskaya, Yury Loika, Konstantin G Arbeev, Olivia Bagley, Matt Duan, Anatoliy I Yashin, Alexander M Kulminski

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Experimental gerontology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Liang HeBiodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA. Electronic address: lianghe@mit.edu.
Irina CulminskayaBiodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA.
Yury LoikaBiodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA.
Konstantin G ArbeevBiodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA.
Olivia BagleyBiodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA.
Matt DuanBiodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA.
Anatoliy I YashinBiodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA.
Alexander M KulminskiBiodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA. Electronic address: kulminsk@duke.edu.
Social Science Research Council · US

Funding

CTSA INFRASTRUCTURE FOR PEDIATRIC RESEARCHUL1RR024156 · NCRR · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI GINSBERG, HENRY N · 2006 to 2011
$53.0M
Exceptional Survival: Trajectories to Functional Aging (CHS All Stars)R01AG023629 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI NEWMAN, ANNE B. · 2004 to 2016
$9.5M
Relationships among Genetic Regulators of Aging Health and LifespanP01AG043352 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI YASHIN, ANATOLIY I · 2014 to 2018
$8.7M
CHS Events Follow-up StudyR01HL080295 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI PSATY, BRUCE M · 2009 to 2014
$6.3M
CHS Events Follow-up StudyU01HL080295 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI PSATY, BRUCE M · 2005 to 2008
$4.6M
Molecular signatures of health and life span disparities between whites and African-Americans in the APOE regionR01AG047310 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI KULMINSKI, ALEXANDER M · 2015 to 2019
$2.5M
Cigarette Smoke and Susceptibility to Influenza InfectionR01HL095163 · NHLBI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI JASPERS, ILONA, NOAH, TERRY L · 2009 to 2013
$2.0M
Role of EIIIA fibronectin in pulmonary fibrosisR01HL085083 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI WHITE, ERIC S · 2007 to 2011
$1.9M
BLOOD COAGULATION &FIBRINOLYSISR01HL065226 · NHLBI · SCRIPPS RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI MACKMAN, NIGEL · 2000 to 2004
$1.8M
GWA for Gene-Environment Interaction Effects Influencing CHDU01HG004402 · NHGRI · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCI CTR HOUSTON · PI BOERWINKLE, ERIC A. · 2007 to 2009
$1.6M
Adjunctive Use of Apyrase to Fibrinolytic TherapyR44HL095169 · NHLBI · APT THERAPEUTICS, INC. · PI CHEN, RIDONG · 2012 to 2013
$1.3M
SLEEP AND ENTRAINMENT OF SCN FUNCTIONR01HL064278 · NHLBI · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI STROHL, KINGMAN PERKINS · 1999 to 2002
$871k
NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024156NHGRI NIH HHS U01 HG004402NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC025195NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC065226NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC075150NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085080NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085081NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085082NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085083NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085084NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085085NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085086NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095159NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095160NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095161NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095162NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095163NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095164NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095165NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095166NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095167NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095168NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095169NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC55222NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC85079NHLBI NIH HHS N02 HL064278NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL080295NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL080295NIA NIH HHS P01 AG043352NIA NIH HHS R01 AG023629NIA NIH HHS R01 AG047310
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundsElucidating the causal effects of common intermediate risk factors on the onset of age-related diseases is indispensable for developing prevention and intervention procedures.

methodsWe conducted two-stage time-to-event Mendelian randomization meta-analyses combining five large-scale longitudinal cohorts to investigate dynamic causal effects of cardiovascular disease risk factors including body mass index (BMI), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and lipids on the age-at-onset of age-related diseases. We constructed weighted polygenic scores based on genetic markers from previously reported genome-wide association studies as instrumental variables to estimate the causal effects. To avoid false positive due to potential pleiotropic effects of the genetic markers, we performed a leave-one-out sensitivity analysis and an MR-Egger sensitivity analysis that we expanded in the survival context.

resultsOur results show that elevated BMI increases the absolute risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) (p=7.68e-04), heart failure (p=9.03e-03), and cardiovascular diseases (CVD) (p=1.69e-03) and the causal effects start at different ages. A significant association between BMI and the risk of stroke is observed; however, the sensitivity analyses suggest that the association is attributed to the potential pleiotropic effects of rs2867125 and rs1558902. Raised SBP levels are significantly associated with the development of atrial fibrillation (p=6.42e-03). Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels are inversely associated with the age-at-onset of T2D (p=1.05e-02). In addition, LDL-C and triglycerides are inversely associated with the risks of cancer and T2D, respectively. Nevertheless, the sensitivity analyses suggest that these associations are probably due to pleiotropic effects of several single-nucleotide polymorphisms including rs4970834 and rs1260326.

conclusionsOur results highlight the involvement of BMI in the development of multiple age-related diseases. Some observed causal associations can attribute to pleiotropic effects of some genetic variations. These findings have important implications in unraveling causal effects of common risk factors on age-related diseases and guiding effective intervention strategies to reduce the incidence of these diseases.

Indexed as

AgingCausalityBlood PressureBody Mass IndexCardiovascular DiseasesCholesterol, HDLCholesterol, LDLDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2FemaleGenetic VariationGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansLinear ModelsLongitudinal StudiesMaleMendelian Randomization AnalysisCholesterol, HDLCholesterol, LDLTriglyceridesAge-related diseaseBody mass indexCausal effectMendelian randomizationTime-to-event analysis

Identifiers

PMID28964830
PMCPMC5874182
OpenAlexW2760569632

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.