Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28953892›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2017

Impact of environmental factors on neglected emerging arboviral diseases.

Camila Lorenz, Thiago S Azevedo, Flávia Virginio, Breno S Aguiar, Francisco Chiaravalloti-Neto, Lincoln Suesdek

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  12. Use of Digital Tools in Arbovirus Surveillance: Scoping Review.Journal of medical Internet research · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Camila LorenzDepartment of Parasitology, Instituto Butantan, Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2121-9063
Thiago S AzevedoDepartment of Geography, Universidade Estadual Paulista, Rio Claro, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Flávia VirginioDepartment of Parasitology, Instituto Butantan, Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Breno S AguiarDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Universidade de São Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Francisco Chiaravalloti-NetoDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Universidade de São Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Lincoln SuesdekDepartment of Parasitology, Instituto Butantan, Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBrazil is a tropical country that is largely covered by rainforests and other natural ecosystems, which provide ideal conditions for the existence of many arboviruses. However, few analyses have examined the associations between environmental factors and arboviral diseases. Thus, based on the hypothesis of correlation between environment and epidemiology, the proposals of this study were (1) to obtain the probability of occurrence of Oropouche, Mayaro, Saint Louis and Rocio fevers in Brazil based on environmental conditions corresponding to the periods of occurrence of the outbreaks; (2) to describe the macroclimatic scenario in Brazil in the last 50 years, evaluating if there was any detectable tendency to increase temperatures and (3) to model future expansion of those arboviruses in Brazil based on future temperature projections. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL

findingsOur model assessed seven environmental factors (annual rainfall, annual temperature, elevation, seasonality of temperature, seasonality of precipitation, thermal amplitude, and daytime temperature variation) for their association with the occurrence of outbreaks in the last 50 years. Our results suggest that various environmental factors distinctly influence the distribution of each arbovirus, with temperature being the central determinant of disease distribution in all high-risk areas. These areas are subject to change, since the average temperature of some areas has increased significantly over the time. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: This is the first spatio-temporal study of the Oropouche, Mayaro, Saint Louis, and Rocio arboviruses, and our results indicate that they may become increasingly important public health problems in Brazil. Thus, next studies and control programs should include these diseases and also take into consideration key environmental elements.

Indexed as

Disease OutbreaksEnvironmental ExposureArbovirusesArbovirus InfectionsBrazilHumansModels, StatisticalNeglected DiseasesSpatio-Temporal Analysis

Identifiers

PMID28953892
PMCPMC5633201

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.