Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28951410›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2017

Cost-effectiveness of milk powder fortified with potassium to decrease blood pressure and prevent cardiovascular events among the adult population in China: a Markov model.

Livia Dainelli, Tingting Xu, Min Li, Diane Zimmermann, Hai Fang, Yangfeng Wu, Patrick Detzel

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 26% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Livia DainelliNestlé Research Center, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Tingting XuChina Center for Health Development Studies, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Min LiDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Peking University School of Public Health, Beijing, China.
Diane ZimmermannNestlé Research Center, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Hai FangChina Center for Health Development Studies, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Yangfeng WuDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Peking University School of Public Health, Beijing, China.
Patrick DetzelNestlé Research Center, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Peking University · CNNestlé (Switzerland) · CH

Funding

UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CLINICAL NUTRITION RESEARCH UNITP30DK056350 · NIDDK · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI SUSAN M. SMITH · 1999 to 2026
$31.6M
MONITORING SOCIAL CHANGE: HEALTH, REPRODUCTION, AGINGR01HD030880 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ADAIR, LINDA S, POPKIN, BARRY M · 1994 to 2024
$27.0M
POPULATION STUDIEST32HD007168 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ELIZABETH A FRANKENBERG · 1985 to 2026
$13.8M
Carolina Population CenterR24HD050924 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI MORGAN, SAMUEL PHILIP · 2005 to 2014
$10.0M
Research Services CoreP2CHD050924 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI KAREN B GUZZO · 2015 to 2026
$9.6M
CHILD HEALTH EFFECTS OF RAPID SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGER01HD038700 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI POPKIN, BARRY M · 2000 to 2004
$1.5M
Nutrition-Related NCD Prevention Training in ChinaD43TW009077 · FIC · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI POPKIN, BARRY M · 2011 to 2015
$1.1M
Nutrition-Related NCD Prevention Training in ChinaD43TW007709 · FIC · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI POPKIN, BARRY M · 2006 to 2010
$723k
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW007709FIC NIH HHS D43 TW009077NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD050924NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD030880NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD038700NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD050924NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD007168NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK056350
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo model the long-term cost-effectiveness of consuming milk powder fortified with potassium to decrease systolic blood pressure (SBP) and prevent cardiovascular events.

designA best case scenario analysis using a Markov model was conducted.

participants8.67% of 50-79 year olds who regularly consume milk in China, including individuals with and without a prior diagnosis of hypertension.

interventionThe model simulated the potential impact of a daily intake of two servings of milk powder fortified with potassium (+700 mg/day) vs the consumption of a milk powder without potassium fortification, assuming a market price equal to 0.99 international dollars (intl$; the consumption of a milk powder without potassium fortification, assuming a market price equal to intl$0.99 for the latter and to intl$1.12 for the first (+13.13%). Both deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to test the robustness of the results.

main outcome measuresEstimates of the incidence of cardiovascular events and subsequent mortality in China were derived from the literature as well as the effect of increasing potassium intake on blood pressure. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was used to determine the cost-effectiveness of a milk powder fortified with potassium taking into consideration the direct medical costs associated with the cardiovascular events, loss of working days and health utilities impact.

resultsWith an ICER equal to int$4711.56 per QALY (quality-adjusted life year) in the best case scenario and assuming 100% compliance, the daily consumption of a milk powder fortified with potassium shown to be a cost-effective approach to decrease SBP and reduce cardiovascular events in China. Healthcare savings due to prevention would amount to intl$8.41 billion. Sensitivity analyses showed the robustness of the results.

conclusionTogether with other preventive interventions, the consumption of a milk powder fortified with potassium could represent a cost-effective strategy to attenuate the rapid rise in cardiovascular burden among the 50-79 year olds who regularly consume milk in China.

Indexed as

AgedBlood PressureCardiovascular DiseasesChinaCost-Benefit AnalysisCost SavingsDairy ProductsFood, FortifiedHealth Care CostsHumansIncidenceMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedPotassiumQuality-Adjusted Life YearsPotassiumcardiovascularchinacost-effectivenessfortificationmarkov modelpotassium

Identifiers

PMID28951410
PMCPMC5623478
OpenAlexW2758726995

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.