Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28934002›Full record

ArticleJournal of biopharmaceutical statistics2018

Estimating the Optimal Personalized Treatment Strategy Based on Selected Variables to Prolong Survival via Random Survival Forest with Weighted Bootstrap.

Jincheng Shen, Lu Wang, Stephanie Daignault, Daniel E Spratt, Todd M Morgan, Jeremy M G Taylor

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Enabling Counterfactual Survival Analysis with Balanced Representations.ACM CHIL 2021 : proceedings of the 2021 ACM Conference on Health, Inference, and Learning : April 8-9, 2021, Virtual Event. ACM Conference on Health, Inference, and Learning (2021 : Online) · 2021
    Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jincheng Shena Department of Population Health Sciences , University of Utah School of Medicine , Salt Lake City , UT , USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6551-3558
Lu Wangb Department of Biostatistics , University of Michigan , Ann Arbor , MI , USA.
Stephanie Daignaultb Department of Biostatistics , University of Michigan , Ann Arbor , MI , USA.
Daniel E Sprattc Department of Radiation Oncology , University of Michigan , Ann Arbor , MI , USA.
Todd M Morgand Department of Urology , University of Michigan , Ann Arbor , MI , USA.
Jeremy M G Taylorb Department of Biostatistics , University of Michigan , Ann Arbor , MI , USA.

Funding

Tissue/InformaticsP50CA186786 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Robert Timothy Dess · 2014 to 2026
$27.6M
Modeling to Improve Prostate Cancer Outcomes Across Diverse PopulationsU01CA199338 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI DE KONING, HARRY J, ETZIONI, RUTH D · 2015 to 2019
$5.2M
Statistical Methods for Cancer BiomarkersR01CA129102 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI GHOSH, DEBASHIS, TAYLOR, JEREMY M.G. · 2009 to 2021
$3.3M
NCI NIH HHS P50 CA186786NCI NIH HHS R01 CA129102NCI NIH HHS U01 CA199338
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A personalized treatment policy requires defining the optimal treatment for each patient based on their clinical and other characteristics. Here we consider a commonly encountered situation in practice, when analyzing data from observational cohorts, that there are auxiliary variables which affect both the treatment and the outcome, yet these variables are not of primary interest to be included in a generalizable treatment strategy. Furthermore, there is not enough prior knowledge of the effect of the treatments or of the importance of the covariates for us to explicitly specify the dependency between the outcome and different covariates, thus we choose a model that is flexible enough to accommodate the possibly complex association of the outcome on the covariates. We consider observational studies with a survival outcome and propose to use Random Survival Forest with Weighted Bootstrap (RSFWB) to model the counterfactual outcomes while marginalizing over the auxiliary covariates. By maximizing the restricted mean survival time, we estimate the optimal regime for a target population based on a selected set of covariates. Simulation studies illustrate that the proposed method performs reliably across a range of different scenarios. We further apply RSFWB to a prostate cancer study.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalSurvival AnalysisComputer SimulationHumansMaleObservational Studies as TopicPrecision MedicineProbabilityProstatic NeoplasmsResearch DesignStatistics, NonparametricTreatment OutcomeInverse probability weightingoptimal treatment regimerandom survival forestweighted bootstrap

Identifiers

PMID28934002
PMCPMC6186022

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.